王銘鑫8.18周一金油开盘行情解析819黄金原油走势分析及操作建议附解套

大家好：我是你们的老朋友王铭鑫 浮生若梦，何惧风花雪月。短暂人生，让自己过得心安理得。没有耕耘，不谈收获。一份辛酸，一份收获。人生宛若一盏茶，融酸甜苦辣于一方。寄情山水间，融合万里甜情蜜意。忘乎所以，独叹花开，再见花落时，定是人间好风景。前方总有一条为自己而铺的金光大道，相信并努力，总不会让你失望。百学需先立志，成功者总有千方百计，失败者总感千难万难。事事难为，然事事总在人为；大部分人都想改变世界，却很少有人想改变自己。人的成长来源于责任心的回归，对于世界而言，你很渺小，但对于某个人而言，你就是他或者（她）的整个世界。所以，不要轻易的为自己开脱，也不要轻易的为结果下决断，没有到最后一份努力，谁都没有权利哭泣！


　　


　　本周经济数据向好提振美元走强，尽管市场坚持认为美联储下月将再次降息标价因素方面本周持续给gold带来压力，因为美元在向好数据提振下持续走强。本周二公布的数据显示，美国7monthCPI年率和核心CPI年率别分录得1.8%and2.2%, higher than expected1.7%and2.1%。而周四的7Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.7%，核心月率达到1.0%，也都明显高于预期值。两项硬数据都指示美元经济向好，特别是经济主引擎消费较为强劲。


　　


　　王铭鑫个人观点：看涨黄金的人士仍对今年夏季的表现欣喜若狂，但晨雷认为，市场可能已准备好在下周进行一些健康的整合，金价可能仍将维持在1500dollar/盎司水平附近。市场上几乎所有因素都对黄金有利，包括中美贸易担忧、股市波动、收益率为负的债务不断膨胀以及美国10年期和两年期国债收益率的倒挂。在经历了本周的风暴之后，投资者的避险情绪自然开始回归市场，这可能意味着金价将出现整固。铭鑫认为金价在1480-1500美元有很大的支撑，金价下周将横盘整理，可能略微走低。


　　


Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:


　　


　　周五市场风险情绪回升，周四欧洲央行利率设定官员Olli Rehn表示，欧洲央行在9月份将出台新的刺激措施。美国联邦利率futures市场显示美联储将在9month100%降息。此消息对全球股市形成提振，金银的回调。周四（8month15The United States announced in Japan7月零售销售数据强于预期，上涨0.7%，远超市场预期0.3%的两倍，表明尽管汽车相关购买有所减少，消费者仍在购买其他产品，这可以缓解金融市场对经济可能进入衰退的担忧。数据的发布给黄金带来一定的压力并提振了美元，也将落入美联储的鹰派阵营。


　　


　　从日线级别来看：单边上涨；MACD金叉但顶背离，KDJ超买区域钝化担忧死叉迹象，K线显示上涨动能减弱，上方面临1540附近强阻力压制，该位置是2013年金价中长线跌势的跌破口，目前仍是强阻力所在，若不能快速顶破该阻力，金价将迎来中线回调走势，目前有点高位震荡筑顶的迹象。下方10The daily moving average support is currently at1507.23附近；若失守该位置，则增加短线见顶信号；综合来看，操作思路上王铭，鑫个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1523-1525Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1500-1507一线支撑。（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注王铭鑫本人官||Wei: wmx67188）


　　


　　黄金可参考建议


　　


　　1Suggestions1527-1530Stop loss without breaking short4USD, target1522-1520（破位持有）


　　


　　2Suggestions1503Do not break long, stop loss4USD, target1510-1513


　　


Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:


　　


　　刚刚过去的一周，国际油价收涨。虽然地缘局势、需求前景和库存压力是油价波动的主要动力，但美国总统特朗普的推文、欧佩克的官员及消息人士的发言，不得不说对油价的影响也很大。截止本周收盘，美油小幅承压55美元关口，报54.94dollar/桶，周涨幅1.23%；布油报58.64dollar/桶，周涨幅0.38%。


　　


　　从技术面来看，日线图KDJGolden fork,MACD粘合，均线交织，油价受到下行趋势线和布林线中轨阻力压制，短线走势变数较大，上方留意布林线中轨55.92附近阻力，若不能收复该位置，则后仍偏向下行，隔夜低点支撑在53.77附近；布林线下轨支撑在52.18附近，若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；8month7Daily low point support at50.52附近。陈文.龙认为若收复布林线中轨55.92，则有望再次试探下行趋势线56.95附近阻力，若进一步收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。短线4hourKDJ金叉但拐头向下，MACD死叉但信号有所减弱，短线走势变数较大，留意布林线轨道53.50-56.87区域突破情况。相对而言，在收复55.65-56.00区域前，后市仍偏向震荡下行；若意外顶破布林线上轨56.87阻力，则增加后市看涨信号信号。若下破布林线下轨53.50附近支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在53.06Nearby, then51.94附近支撑。综合来看，操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注56.0-56.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.7-54.0Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and more market analysis and operational suggestions can be linked/系王铭鑫 ，每日行情分析、解一套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中！


　　


　　原油可参考建议：


　　


　　1Suggestions56.0Stop loss without breaking short4USD, target55.5-55,2；


　　


　　2Suggestions54.1Do not break long, stop loss4USD, target54,8-55.0；


　　 Different situations have different ways to unwind, so what should be done in case the sheets and quilts are covered?




Scenario 1: When tying up, according to the chart analysis, if the purchased price is at a high level, the loss must be immediately stopped.




Scenario 2: If the purchased price is in the middle range, you can temporarily wait and see based on the situation at that time, in order to unwind and leave the market or reduce losses when the position is high.




Scenario 3: If the purchased price is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop the loss. After the purchased price stabilizes, one should dare to cover the position at a low level in important support positions, dilute costs, and rescue the high locked position together in the subsequent rebound market.




Scenario 4: If the price of the purchased item is on an upward trend, there is no need to stop the loss. Patiently holding it for a period of time will inevitably unwind, and there may even be a possibility of significant profits.




Scenario 5: If the purchased price is in a balanced and volatile trend, there is no need to immediately stop the loss. Be patient and wait for the price to enter a high level of a volatile cycle. Once the situation is resolved or the loss is small, you should decisively exit the market., Teaching people how to fish is not as good as teaching them how to fish. Here, not only are there calling for a spot, but there are also operational ideas and skills for making orders!




Scenario 6: If the price of the purchased item is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, the loss should be immediately stopped, and one must not be worried about gains or losses and have illusions. Any hesitation or hesitation may result in deep confinement.




　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套单的投资朋友王铭鑫告诉你要切记以下5Taboos:1Heavy storage operation.2Without stop loss.3Reverse the trend operation.4Frequent order making.5Poor mentality and easy operation. The above is a summary of my years of experience. If investors have encountered similar problems in the past, please summarize, discover your own shortcomings, and make corrections. In the long run, you will always gain something - share with everyone!




　　寄语：如果你刚刚入市，来找我，笔者会教你边学习边操作；如果你已经身在其中并不理想，可以来找我、我帮助你，不会再让你一错再错；如果你已经在这个市场摸爬滚打却遍体鳞伤，不妨来找铭鑫将有信心帮你重拾信心。如果你仓位单子被套，我会根据你的进场点位进行合理的解被套。因为每个人被套的点位不一样，解的方法也会不一样，有的适合稳健者有的适合激进者。但是笔者在这里不可能全部给出完美的答复，铭鑫建议你带上你的单。只要找到王铭鑫，我定会用最合适的方法实实在在为你解决问题、辅佐你出局。




Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00全方位指导老师：王铭鑫 分析团队文/Wang Mingxin （微：wmx67188---official account ）