Duan Haoyu:8.16黄金低位震荡还会涨吗？美盘行情分析及策略

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Duan Haoyu:8.16gold低位震荡还会涨吗？美盘行情分析及策略


Interpretation of Golden News:


全球经济衰退红灯再现，美国国债收益率延续跌势，美国十年期国债收益率最低跌至1.514%，30年期国债收益跌破2%，最低下探至1.942%，显示投资者对于美国未来经济的悲观预期，10年期国债收益率和2年期国债收益率目前倒挂，为自2007年以来首次倒挂。种种指标均显示目前全球经济面临较大衰退风险，进入2019年，多达20多个国家纷纷降息，目前美联储9月份降息概率高达100%，9month12日欧洲央行会议降息的概率日前也升至100%。


国内经济目前也面临较大下行压力，考虑到近期公布的社融和信贷数据均不及预期，上周公布的CPI处于高位，而PPI则为负增长，是一个典型的经济“滞胀组合”，虽然美国延迟对中国部分商品征税至12月份，但考虑到国内疲软的经济以及全球的降息潮，短期内，我们仍对国债futures仍持谨慎偏多观点。


晚间黄金走势分析及操作建议：


昨日，黄金走了个探底回升直接到了1524的阻力位置一时间难以越过，午后价格持续在1520附近压制缓慢盘横又在骗多头进场，之后快速回落直达1507，做多的又安静了。下午直接再次拉升直冲1522，然而美盘前又快速回落1510，凌晨又突然涨幅至1526.8一线，随后快速回落，一天之中来回4次，意思已经很明显了，突出一个字“洗”。


from4小时线上看：隔日连阳上涨后连阴下挫，当前布林带处于平口期，MA5均线向下弯钩有和MA10均线形死叉迹象，当前K线位于中下轨之间运行之中，KDJ指标三线平行向下，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线形死叉向下前方延伸，短期来看，金价后市仍有回调风险，短线谨慎追高，多单应稳健等回调修正后再进场。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上段浩雨个人建议采取区间高沽低渣即可，上方短期重点关注1520-1522Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1503-1505线支撑；关注段浩雨威信dhy776Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!


Latest operating suggestions for gold:


1Gold rebounded to1520-1522Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-1512frontline;


2Gold callback to1503-1505Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1513-1515frontline;


盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以段浩雨指导实盘为准。


1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.


2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.


3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.


在这个投资市场上摸爬滚打也这么久了，有没有想过为什么还是乱糟糟，资金亏损一塌糊涂，待在黄金市场不开心，离开黄金市场不甘心，想卷土重来，涅槃重生，今天浩雨愿给你一个机会，要记住想挽回损失，投资要资金安全第一.稳健盈利最牢靠。


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authoritydhy776（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


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