刘煜贤：临近周末，黄金下行风险支撑看1495

　　今晚数据方面，美国7月新屋开工数据将出炉，预计美国7月新屋开工年化月率上升0.2%The previous value is a decrease0.9%；此外，美国8月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值将公布，预计自前值98.4Slide down to97。眼下市场对于美国经济衰退的担忧日益升温，在这一背景之下，经济数据受到高度关注。如果今晚这几项重要数据不及预期，可能加剧投资者对美国经济衰退的忧虑，提升美联储大幅降息的预期，从而推动金价展开反弹。
　　
　　最近一段时间，随着市场对国际贸易局势的反应越来越敏感，资产价格的突然波动也越来越常见。这可能会令行情走势在周末来临前对持有风险敞口比以往更加谨慎。
　　
　　在这种环境下，市场上防御性的清算可能会令对风险情绪敏感的油价伴随股价下跌，而随着国债收益率的下跌，gold价格也可能会受到支撑，尤其是考虑到近期美元走强但黄金也表现强势。然而如果突发消息的推动，黄金和crude oil也不太可能出现显著的趋势性发展。下周将迎来重磅美联储货币政策会议纪要以及杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会，可能会成为美联储货币政策前景的关键转折点，在此之前，市场的波动可能会保持谨慎。
　　
　　技术上，目前黄金短线支撑1511附近，下破1511，会形成加速向下。当前的指标走势图之中，4小时指标震荡向下，加上日K钝化，因此黄金有理由去形成一个震荡向下的走势！
　　
　　在欧盘之中，我们也不要想多了，本周的高点大概率是1535附近的压力，因此靠近1535的压力，我们选择沽涳处理即可！记住，市场永远是吵着阻力较小的方向运行！而当前阻力较大的是多头，指标钝化，空头砸盘，这一系列的因素是震荡向下博弈的基础！
　　
Short term operation, refer to the following:
　　
　　1, breaking through1511可能会加速下跌，下方支撑看1495. gold1511Short selling, stop loss1516。
　　
　　中线大区间来说，一般在1480-1530between50个点来回折腾，大家切记别忘了9月降息是肯定的，所以黄金下跌基回测从1535to1380of0.382stay1476一线，最低探至1480基本完成，而未来大区间看1480-1530之间运行，月线不会收太低应有9月降息！这样大家操作上有方向的定向运动！望大家在投资路上不会迷茫！
　　
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
　　
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3万美金，为了资金周转选择先出掉本金。留下利润继续操作，可能你会存在质疑，一周翻了一倍怎么可能，但事实却是操作十单其中有五单刘煜贤提前公布于微圈，我们操作每一单都有迹可循，绝非信口开河！每天都会在公布现价单有需要的朋友可以关注。
　　
Doing transactions, having2Misconception of a combination: no stop loss+Add warehouse; And fear of stop loss+Do not operate. Next, let's analyze each item one by one:
　　
　　相信很多业余交易者都会犯这个错误，就是在开仓之后一路加仓，最后变成了赌气似的交易(His inner thoughts are as follows: I don't believe that the market won't reverse, and then I can still make a big profit). This Sunflower Encyclopedia+The super combination of Seven Hurt Fist is the ultimate weapon that killed Bill and also the root cause of the explosion. I have my own theory: the security of funds decreases geometrically as the number of positions increases. hypothesis1Ten thousand US dollars, open1Hand, safety factor reverse80US dollars; If the opening is followed closely2Hand, the safety factor immediately drops to40US dollars. If you open the3Where are the hands? Sorry, perhaps a significant fluctuation in one night resulted in a liquidation. So, no matter how large the principal is, never trade like this.
　　
My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and I publish transactions in real-time on Pengyouquan. I'm not afraid of you asking questions or not being able to find directions. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
As for some people who may say, "How long can I hold on to a deep set of orders in my hand?" Therefore, it is necessary to judge based on your position report. In response to this situation, five or six investors have contacted the topic that I am most concerned about. At that time, I will also provide the most timely countermeasures based on real-time market trends.
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　8.16(Writing))