United States7After adjusting the roseCPI月率符合预期;7Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.7%,远超预期。消息一出,美元指数上涨30多点。不过,美国至8month10日当周初请失业金人数升至六周高位,限制了美元指数的涨幅。莫千机认为小幅走高的经济数据并不意味着美国经济回暖。从本周公布的美债收益率情况来看,美国2Period and10年期国债收益率一度出现倒挂。十年期国债收益率最低跌至1.478%,为三年来最低水平。
综合来看莫千机认为,就目前来看黄金在早盘反弹遇阻于1527位置,金价出现延续下跌,下方支撑位置考虑在1513位置让后会考虑在1507美元。今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单位置,反弹布局空单为辅,上方关注1530-1535Pressure, following below1513-1507支撑。若金价回撤在1513-1507位置得到支撑大概率上将上探上方1523-1527压力,若意外下破1507将削弱看涨情绪。
Today's trading strategy:
策略一、回撤在1513-1507区间企稳多,目标看1522-1527,破位上看,止损4dollar
策略二、反弹不破1527Empty, look at the target1523-1513,破位下看,止损4dollar
In the7月初,欧佩克+延长了减产协议,所以原油供应可能进一步减少。而在上周公布的IEA报告显示,和6月相比,欧佩克7月原油供应减少19万桶每天,日产量降至2971万桶,超过规定减产配额34%。俄罗斯7月超额完成16%的减产幅度。另外,该报告把今年第三季度原油需求预期上调到了3060万桶每天,比日产量高出94万桶。因为IEA月报和欧佩克月报有着很强的正相关性。所以莫千机赞同,欧佩克月报可能显示,欧佩克7月将会超额完成减产计划。重点关注欧佩克公布月度原油市场报告。
策略一、回撤54.6-54.0区间企稳多,目标看55.0-55.3, take a break to see55.6-56.3Stop loss0.4dollar
策略二、反弹在55.3-55.6区间遇阻空,目标看54.6, take a break to see54.0-53.7Stop loss0.4dollar.
Wen/Mo Qianji
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Mo Qianji Analysis Team Investment Risk Management:
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!