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前言:我很庆幸,你能停下脚步花几分钟看我这边文章,一点小建议,希望分享出来帮到各位投资者。我作为一位分析师做了这么多年投资。像近两天的行情,我经历过很多次了。你现在的心态我也能猜到八九不离十。不要怨恨市场,也不要怪自己。做投资,都是想盈利的,也是我们投资的目的,我懂。但是你亏损了,原因很多,但严重的无非就那几种:不带止损、扛单爆仓,主观意识太强、执行力太差、害怕怀疑心理、否定消极心理等等,这只是总结的部分,如有上述情况或其他,可以和莫千机好好聊聊。
——gold行情分析及操作建议——
United States7Monthly retail sales growth rate0.7%, the previous value is corrected to growth0.3%Expected growth0.3%。对此,有机构评论称,美国7月零售销售月率大幅上扬,表明尽管汽车相关购买有所减少,消费者仍在购买其他产品,这可以缓解金融市场对经济可能进入衰退的担忧。8month10Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week22万人,升至六周高位,好于预期21.4万人。对此,有评论指出,上周美国初请失业金人数增幅大于预期,但整体趋势仍表明劳动力市场强劲。没有迹象表明当前经贸局势的影响已经溢出到劳动力市场。
日线上看,日线图MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉信号减弱,均线多头排列,金价仍有继续冲高的机会,但K线显示上涨动能减弱,上方面临2013年跌片刻1540.08附近强阻力压制,仍需提防金价高位震荡筑底的可能性。目前5The daily moving average is supported by1509.28Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1492.73附近,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线见顶信号。上方初步阻力在日内高点1524.17Nearby, then1530整数关口附近阻力,本周高点阻力在1535.01Nearby, strong resistance2013year4month4Daily low point1540.08附近,莫千机认为若意外强势顶破该阻力,则增加中长线看涨信号。自信源于实力,人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"Mo Qianji"。
4小时线上看:隔日连阳上涨后连阴下挫,当前布林带处于平口期,MA5均线向下弯钩有和MA10均线形死叉迹象,当前K线位于中下轨之间运行之中,KDJ指标三线平行向下,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线形死叉向下前方延伸,短期来看,金价后市仍有回调风险,所以操作上以反弹高空为主,短线谨慎追高,多单应稳健等回调修正后再进场。上方关注1530-35One line of resistance, pay attention below1514-16Frontline support.
策略一:黄金反弹到1530-35Short on the front line, stop loss4USD, target1416-15frontline;
策略二:黄金回调至1514-16Long on the front line, stop loss4USD, target1526-27frontline;
——crude oil行情分析及操作建议——
昨天油市整体以震荡为主,没有太大的突破行情,亚盘阶段在小幅反弹至55.3附近后,欧盘开始走回撤,走出一波近200点的急跌行情至53.77最低点,后市企稳53.9-54of90分钟反压线上方后,多头又收回了失地至55.1最高点,美盘在未能继续上破新高后,开始走回落再次回到54附近位置,凌晨在企稳后开始走反弹收盘于54.7,昨天我们在早评中给到企稳55.1下方空,企稳53.9-54多,盘内在53.9-54布局的多单晚间顺利打止盈,获利100点,后面我们在盘内给到下降三角的操作思路,55-54.9Empty,54.1-54多,两波行情基本也在分析思路内,跟黄金的走势基本大同小异,有4波机会,每波至少100点的利润空单,那么今天的原油我们应该怎么操作呢?自信源于实力,人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"Mo Qianji"。
昨天的油价是按下降三角在运行,早间来看已经上破下行趋势线顶部,我们需要判断真假突破,分两种情况,第一如果是真突破,那么今天的我们就要按震荡区间的思路来操作,上方的55.3附近,下方的54.1-53.9区域,确认后下降三角形态将失败,以区间震荡思路为主,这是真突破的情况下,第二如果是假突破,今天的压欧盘我们就需要重点关注原油能否在回到三角的区间内下方关注54-53.9区域,综合来看莫千机(mqj773)认为如果一旦确认突破这里后,我们可以等一波反抽后上车去空原油,这种思路为辅,比较现在已经突破了,整体操作上以震荡区间思路为主基调,具体操作我们在盘内给出。
策略一、企稳55.3下方空一次,止损55.8, look at the goal54-53.7
原油二、企稳54-53.9上方多一次,止损53.5, look at the goal55-55.3-55.7
Mo Qianji Analysis Team Investment Risk Management:
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!
撰写文——莫千机——mqj773 |
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