Duan Haoyu:8.15美联储不能阻止经济衰退黄金后市还会上涨吗？

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Duan Haoyu:8.15美联储不能阻止经济衰退gold后市还会上涨吗？


8month15日讯现货黄金今日小幅回调，不过已经在1510关口“站稳”。美股市场剧烈波动，黄金虽然也有波动，不过整体的上升趋势没有改变。日前，新债王发出“警告”称，美联储降息也不能阻挡美国经济衰退的步伐，而有预测认为，黄金价格或可飙升至2000USD.


美联储不能阻止经济衰退


昨日晚间，两年期美债收益率高于10年期美债收益率，为2007year6月以来首见，可能意味着投资人担心的全球最大经济体可能正走向衰退。


“新债王”、DoubleLine创始人兼首席执行官冈拉克周三晚些时候警告称，美联储降息也不太可能将美国从衰退中拯救出来。


目前市场寄希望于美联储在9月大幅降息。冈拉克表示，投资者慢慢地试图让自己相信，债券市场在相当长一段时间内一直显示出衰退迹象，但是，美联储降息并不能阻止经济衰退的发生，而且一旦美联储进入宽松模式，就已经太迟了。


晚间黄金行情走势分析及操作建议：


黄金从日线来看，单边上涨后高位震荡；上一交易日金价冲高受阻于2013年的牛熊转换区域阻力，并展开回调，增加了短线见顶信号，留意10Daily moving average1488附近支撑，进一步试探隔夜低点1480附近支撑，若失守该支撑，则可能进一步试探20Daily moving average1455附近支撑，该位置也接近7month19日高点支撑，支撑相对较强。上方初步阻力在隔夜大跌后的反弹高点1506Nearby,8month7Resistance to daily highs1510Near.MACD红色动能柱缩窄，KDJ随机指标转而走低，指示金价上涨动能大幅削弱，可能再度展开回撤跌势；关注段浩雨威信dhy776Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!


Gold from4小时来看，单边上涨后震荡回调，黄金短线的回调在1400以来涨势的38.2%Retreat position1483附近获得支撑，布林线收口后水平运行，短线走势变数仍存，留意布林线带中下轨道1484-1504区域突破情况。若上破1504附近阻力，则金价仍有可能再次试探布林带上轨1521Nearby resistance.MACD顶背离后市场运行，绿色动能柱扩大，KDJ死叉运行，随机指标走低，黄金初步见顶，指示金价短线也将进一步回撤下跌。浩雨综合来看，今日操作思路上个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1525-1527线阻力，下方短期重点关注1500-1504一线支撑。目前手上有单子被套的可找我段浩雨。由于笔者不知道你们套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解.套的或精准免费布局的朋友可联系我。


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1Gold rebounded to1525-1527Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1518-1520frontline;


2Gold callback to1509-1510Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1518-1520frontline;


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Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


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