刘煜贤：8月后半段黄金趋势分析报告

　　市场情绪短暂舒缓后恢复紧张状态，风险资产开始回吐涨幅，欧美股市的大跌把投资者拉回到避险交易中来，gold、白银以及日元等再次获得提振走强。美元指数突破近期整理区间或继续反弹，所以美元方面可能抑制黄金上行动能，但是进一步降息预期下美元上行空间可能有限。
　　
　　贸易乐观预期很快消散，避险交易卷土重来周二有关美国推迟加税以及中美或在未来两周内谈判的报道在市场掀起巨大波澜，贸易乐观预期带来了一阵风险偏好的狂欢，美股crude oil等风险资产大涨，黄金白银盘中巨震。不过进入周三市场似乎回过味来，贸易紧张关系并没有实质改善，并且历史经验也让投资者质疑乐观预期的可靠性。我们已经看到市场已经重回避险交易模式，投资者在抛售欧美股市等风险资产同时买入避险资产。
　　
And for the8month13日黄金的大跌，是受贸易事件有点降温所导致。最低至1480附近，随后反弹1500上方，日线最终以风车线收盘！盘面来看，虽然不能断定多头完全见顶，空头就此到来；但多头不再那么猖狂了，这是确定的。但始终有一点要明白美联储降息预期一直存在。所以，1535这里只能确定是近期的高点，无法确定是年度高点；黄金5month1270多头开始上涨，向上突破1365-70压力确立小牛市；月初1400止跌暴涨随着一系列消息利多连续破高点到昨天为止，行情以上扬为主！
　　
　　而对于中线大区间来说，一般在1480-1530between50个点来回折腾，大家切记别忘了9月降息是肯定的，所以黄金下跌基回测从1535to1380of0.382stay1476一线，最低探至1480基本完成，而未来大区间看1480-1530之间运行，月线不会收太低应有9月降息！这样大家操作上有方向的定向运动！望大家在投资路上不会迷茫！黄金我们已成功在1496埋好多单，目标看1506，破看1520frontline!
　　
Short term operation, refer to the following:
　　
　　1，黄金突破1520，可在1524做空，回看短线压力1528走一波回落。
　　
　　2，若维持1520下方震荡可做多
　　
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
　　
　　平稳心态，别让亏损充斥内心，经过17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3万美金，为了资金周转选择先出掉本金。留下利润继续操作，可能你会存在质疑，一周翻了一倍怎么可能，但事实却是操作十单其中有五单刘煜贤提前公布于微圈，我们操作每一单都有迹可循，绝非信口开河！每天都会在公布现价单有需要的朋友可以关注。
　　
Doing transactions, having2Misconception of a combination: no stop loss+Add warehouse; And fear of stop loss+Do not operate. Next, let's analyze each item one by one:
　　
　　相信很多业余交易者都会犯这个错误，就是在开仓之后一路加仓，最后变成了赌气似的交易(His inner thoughts are as follows: I don't believe that the market won't reverse, and then I can still make a big profit). This Sunflower Encyclopedia+The super combination of Seven Hurt Fist is the ultimate weapon that killed Bill and also the root cause of the explosion. I have my own theory: the security of funds decreases geometrically as the number of positions increases. hypothesis1Ten thousand US dollars, open1Hand, safety factor reverse80US dollars; If the opening is followed closely2Hand, the safety factor immediately drops to40US dollars. If you open the3Where are the hands? Sorry, perhaps a significant fluctuation in one night resulted in a liquidation. So, no matter how large the principal is, never trade like this.
　　
My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and I publish transactions in real-time on Pengyouquan. I'm not afraid of you asking questions or not being able to find directions. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
As for some people who may say, "How long can I hold on to a deep set of orders in my hand?" Therefore, it is necessary to judge based on your position report. In response to this situation, five or six investors have contacted the topic that I am most concerned about. At that time, I will also provide the most timely countermeasures based on real-time market trends.
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　8.14(Writing))