Li Dingyuan:8.13黄金涨势惊人再破新高，后市金价走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

Monday(8month12day)美元指数走软，市场预期旷日持久的贸易争端将对美国经济成长产生负面影响，美债收益率连续走低亦令美元承压；避险货币日元、瑞郎兑美元继续走强。金价大涨，现货黄金创2013year4New high since the beginning of the month1520.04dollar/盎司，贸易争端加剧了对全球经济增长和汇率波动的担忧，美国股市大幅下滑，引发了避险买需。油价小幅走高，市场预期主要产油国将继续减少全球crude oil供应，但同时也担心贸易争端导致原油需求增长乏力。
　　
　　黄金又走了一次过山车的行情，昨日亚盘黄金跌至1487一线获得支撑，欧盘强势反弹站上1500上方，凌晨受到26亿美金的机构拉升，短线上涨13USD, Breakthrough1510前高受阻于1520，截止收盘黄金回落至1511附近。那么黄金为何突然暴涨，其主要原因无非是阿根廷债务担忧加剧，在大选前景下，阿根廷正迎来恐慌环境，美债收益率的持续下跌，以及美国三大stock market index的大跌；这些都对黄金起到重要支撑。
　　
　　目前美债收益率迅速下滑，10年期美债收益率在数周内跌至历史最低点的可能性并非不可想象。而且今年美联储再次降息的因素越来越多，美联储9Monthly interest rate reduction25Bps to1.75%-2%的概率为81.2%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is18.8%；这些都是支撑黄多头的，所以大方向上来看黄金是看涨的。
　　
　　李鼎缘个人观点：金价强劲攀升；上周金价维持强劲升势。全球央行宽松预期是支撑金价走高的主要因素，而全球贸易局势依然没有太多缓和的迹象，加之地缘政.治紧张局势等因素，金价表现强劲。自美联储8month1日进行十年来首次降息后，亚太地区随后掀起降息潮。李鼎缘分析认为，中美贸易关系仍主导着近期的黄金走势。如果关系得不到缓解，黄金将会继续构建上涨动能，再加上对全球经济增长前景的担忧和央行降息周期的到来，这些都为黄金近期的上涨增添动力。

　　

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
　　
　　日线来看，黄金上周初经历了三天的大涨之后，周四周五一直没有突破新高而是在调整，周一黄金下探1487一线后迅速反弹，并且凌晨一举突破1510前高，日线收一根中阳线，目前来看在经历了上周周尾两个交易日的调整之后黄金多头有重新抬头的迹象，下方关注凌晨的起涨点1507一线，上方阻力看1520。
　　
　　四小时来看，黄金一根大阳线收复了黄金昨日的全部跌幅，布林带三轨开口向上，目前K线运行在布林带上轨，中轨支撑在1502frontline,KDJForming a golden fork,MACD绿色能量柱缩量，多头开始重新起航。
　　
　　综合来看，上周周尾两个交易日黄金的调整已经结束，周一黄金下探1487一线后迅速拉起来并破了1510这一前高，短线来看黄金还有上涨的空间，日内操作上建议以做多为主，下方关注1507-1502支撑，上方阻力看至1520一线。今日操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1520-1526Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1505-1500Frontline support.
　　
Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
　　1Gold rebound1518-1520Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1510-1505Nearby. Break the position to see1500frontline;
　　
　　2Gold Callback1500-1505Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1515-1520Nearby, break down and take a look1526frontline;
　　
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.

　　

How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

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