Zhou Hongjin:8.13黄金暴涨破新高空单被套怎么解套？原油早间行情走势及策略

　　蹉跎于时间，困顿于金钱，止步于胆量，囚禁于思想，年少轻狂，安于享乐，沉于顺境;中年好逸恶劳，贪图清乐，陷于闲境;晚年力不从心，势单力薄便经不起逆境。用功不求太猛,但求有恒，交易不求暴利，但求稳定持续，盈亏之间应不悲不喜，处之泰然，人生之间却要黄沙百战穿金甲，不破楼兰终不还。
　　
　Message surface:
　　
　　8month12日纽市盘中，现货gold一度拉升近13USD, creating2013year4New high since the beginning of the month1520.04dollar/盎司，因贸易争端加剧了对全球经济增长和汇率波动的担忧，美国股市大幅下滑，引发了避险买需，此外美债收益率连续走低也提振了金价。WTIcrude oil9monthfuturesMonday(8month12day)Income increase0.28USD, or0.5%Report54.78dollar/Bucket. Brent crude oil10月期货周一收涨0.14USD, or0.2%Report58.65dollar/桶。虽然油价扭转了稍早跌势，但全球经济放缓忧虑依然限制着油价的上行空间。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their highest intraday level55.18dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their highest intraday price58.88dollar/Bucket.

Gold trend analysis:
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，金价强势顶破上周高点1510.41，打开新的上涨空间，初步阻力在2011year12Monthly low point1522.69附近阻力，然后2012year5月份低点阻力在1527.12Nearby;2013year4month4Resistance at daily low points1540.08附近，鸿.金认为该位置阻力都极强，本周有效上破的可能性依然不大。不过，金价此前涨幅过大，KDJ在超买区运行，关注3268735920需要提防短线回调风险；短线4小时虽然MACD死叉，但绿色能量柱开始萎缩，且KDJ金叉运行，金价强势顶破1510.41附近阻力，上方通道得以打开；留意布林线中轨1499.06附近支撑；若金价坚守该位置则增加短线看涨信号；综合来看今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1520.04；1522.69；1527.12；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1507.52；1504.39；1500.0；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-1512；
　　
　　2Rebound1520Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1510-1508；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
Analysis of crude oil trend：
　　
　　技术面来看，油价在年初以来低点50.60附近获得支撑后展开反弹，KDJ金叉运行，油价收复5日均线，在10Daily moving average and38.2%回撤位附近受阻，MACD依然死叉，短线走势变数较大。鸿.金认为若能顶破10Daily moving average54.82附近阻力在，则有望进一步试探20Daily moving average55.61Nearby resistance,200The daily moving average resistance is currently at56.64附近，关注3268735920若进一步收复该位置，则增加看涨信号。不过，鸿.金认为若油价持续承压于10日均线阻力，并回落至5Daily moving average53.45下方，则削弱短线反弹信号；进一步支撑在19.1%Retreat position52.51Nearby. Short line4小时参考布林线轨道51.18-55.57区域突破情况；布林线中轨53.38附近也存在一些支撑。综合来看，短线走势变数较大，留意53.16-55.61区域突破情况；中线依然偏向空头。所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:54.80；55.61；56.64；
　　
Pay attention to support below:53.45；53.16；52.51；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback53.5Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.6-54.8；
　　
　　2Rebound55.6Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.2-54.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
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