Li Dingyuan:8.13午夜黄金该日内操作？午夜金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

　　8month12日，现货黄金价格在假期清淡交投中，继续围绕重要整数关口1500美元展开震荡，贸易形势的不确定性以及对全球经济增长放缓的担忧提供了支撑。上周出炉的经济数据似乎也佐证了相关预期，英国经济在二季度出现2012年以来首次萎缩，而德国工业生产遭遇9年来最大年度跌幅。国际油价延续上周颓势，因市场担心全球经济放缓以及贸易前景堪忧导致全球石油需求增长预期下滑。两大crude oilfutures价格上周均收跌，布油收跌近4.5%，美油收跌逾1.6%。高盛公司称，市场对贸易纷争可能导致的经济衰退忧虑加剧。俄罗斯8month1day-8日石油产量从7Of the month111510000 barrels/Increase daily to113210000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　李鼎缘个人观点：目前形势来看，之前支撑金价一举冲上千五大关的因素并没有基本改变。这包括中美贸易紧张局势、市场对于经济衰退将至的担忧以及由此引发的美联储鸽派预期。从技术面来看，技术指标MACD已经出现背离，价格短线涨势出现明显放缓迹象。同时，黄金此轮上行基本没有出现过像样回撤，因此存在较大的回调空间。从基本面来看，随着美股上周内出现企稳表现，恐慌情绪有所降温。下行的趋势中，李鼎缘认为，在金价维持在1484.40dollar/盎司上方的条件下，其将继续预测金价处于看涨趋势。一旦金价跌破这一水平，这将推动金价开始回调，初始目标指向1468.40dollar/盎司区域。金价上行目标首先看向1510.00dollar/盎司。若突破这一水平，这将确认金价会涨向其主要等待的目标1526.85dollar/ounce.

　　

Gold Market Analysis
　　
　　国际金价欧市盘中扭转日内稍早的下修跌势头，至发稿前一个小时，多头自1489一线再次拉升，上破1500大关，这一时刻交投于1505.30水平，缘于市场对全球经济增长的担忧情绪再起。李鼎缘认为，要更多推升黄金刺激性大涨，仍需在经济，金融和地缘事件上出现更多负面意外，一旦不存在贸易摩擦的升级，黄金或表现踩水，或在持续震荡后动能耗竭而遭遇回落短压力。短线走势中黄金虽然重回1500上方，但尚未攻破1510前高且进一步胜利性突破，日内价格能否重破1510或收于1500将是关键。
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，上周因避险情绪升温多次冲破上方阻力最高上至1510.15dollar/盎司后回落，陷入震荡盘整修正；日线图来看，周四录得小阳十字星后开始回落修正，周五录得一根小阴K，金价下半周似乎终止上半周的攻势，也是因为下半周投资们对市场的极端情绪的予以修复。短线4小时来分析，当前布林带有收口迹象，MA5AndMA10向下弯钩形死叉，当前K线位于中上轨之间运行之中，KDJ指标三线向下延伸，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线形死叉向下运行，短期来看，金价可能还会有进一步的回调，日内重点关注1490-1510区间下方支撑的破位情况，破位则下看1480短线起涨点。若不破，依旧维持此区间布局，上方关注1510Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1490Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions1507破做空，止损1512, Objective1502-1500；
　　
　　2Suggestions1488Do not break long, stop loss1483, Objective1495-1500；
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

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