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Duan Haoyu:8.12特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息,黄金后市还会涨吗?

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Duan Haoyu:8.12特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息,gold后市还会涨吗?


特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息100个基点可能性上升?


特朗普呼吁美联储降息100个基点,称美国经济被美联储的货币政策“铐上了手铐”。特朗普在白宫对记者说,强势美元正在伤害美国制造商,尽管美联储上个月自2008年以来首次降息,但联储仍需要进一步降息。
Duan Haoyu:8.12特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息,黄金后市还会涨吗?510 / author:Duan Haoyu / PostsID:1453097

特朗普仍三次发难美联储,这令市场担忧特朗普和美联储之间的分歧进一步加剧。市场仍在关注特朗普是否会对美联储进一步施加压力。


目前市场关于美联储政策的预期发生U型反转。市场现在预计美联储年底前将至少再降息50个基点,甚至75个基点。尽管美联储主席鲍威尔明确表示,这不是美联储宽松周期的开始。不过特朗普一再向美联储施压要求更积极地降息。


As early as3月末时,特朗普提名的美联储理事摩尔和白宫经济顾问库德洛便要求美联储降息50个基点,同时在今年4月时候特朗普首次提出了降息100个基点的论调。随着近期美联储实现了10年来首次降息,特朗普对于美联储降息的要求却变本加厉,暗示特朗普在降息的问题上越发的激进,这可能会对美联储后期的政策走向造成进一步的阻碍。


目前市场的预期美联储可能会在9Month and12月进行降息,同时在2020初再降息一次,累计降息75个基点。如果美联储迫于特朗普的压力进一步降息,可能会进一步施压美元,提振金价。


Analysis of Today's Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions


黄金上周大阳线收涨,周初延续此前的破高放量,前三个交易日不断刷新新高,触及1510.0dollar|盎司高位后略有承压停顿修正,尾盘两个交易日也走出了高位震荡修正,以时间换空间的整理过渡,最终周线收盘大阳线。日图上周五小阴线收盘,符合盘中预期,周尾震荡修正为主。区间收缩在1508-1490between.


周线收盘较为强势,中期形态依旧看涨。不过周初还是需要时间修正。日图连阳上涨之后开始小阴线停顿震荡修正,此前空间释放较大,技术面的突破,加上消息面的助攻,使得短线连续放量。不断刷新近期新高,日图稍有修正迹象。本周周初两个交易日仍看在高点1510下方震荡修正为主;关注段浩雨威信dhy776Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!
Duan Haoyu:8.12特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息,黄金后市还会涨吗?491 / author:Duan Haoyu / PostsID:1453097

Short line chart:4小时两次上探接近1510水破承压,暂时进入高位区间1510-1490之间震荡修正,从K线结构来看,还有进一步向下回调迹象。附图MACD指标高位死叉有待消化。而短期均线开始死叉向下,今日开盘在10均线之下,仔细观察这波上涨的走势,不曾跌破过10单位均线,一路贴着10均线强势上涨,一旦跌破且收在之下,短线会打破强势走震荡修正,目前的收盘显示有初步回调迹象。周初短线操作维持在1510下方适当择机高空看回调,至于多单位置结合支撑和回调空间盘中再另行安排。今日压力1503-15051510.brace1490.跌破的话会进一步向下回踩1785-1480.回调过程依旧是震荡迂回式的。


8-12(周一)黄金操作建议:(1)1503-1504短空防守1508.50target1494-1490Break down and take a look.


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Duan Haoyu:8.12特朗普持续炮轰美联储降息,黄金后市还会涨吗?145 / author:Duan Haoyu / PostsID:1453097

成功的投资者,无须在市场上百战百胜,而是遵守一个投资计划,信奉一套理念和系统,严守纪律,并戒除贪念与恐惧。专业人做专业事,你正好需要,我正好专业,文能提笔安天下,武能上马定乾坤,我是段浩雨,一个能带你扭亏为盈的老师,我愿为你保驾护航,更能与你风雨同舟!


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authoritydhy776(VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


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