林先湛：8.12原油黄金操作建议，今日如何操作？

The primary principle of investment is to avoid risks. If risks cannot be avoided, any amount of money earned will one day be returned. Every person's success has its own methods, and investment trading must also have its principles. The foundation of trading is to accumulate small gains and fight against large gains. However, many people forget their original intention and prioritize their interests, yet hang risks on the wall. They are unaware of the fragility and insignificance of individuals in the market. If they do not understand how to avoid risks, they are like a small boat sailing in the sea, ready to be overturned at any time by the wind and waves. Stop loss is a topic we often talk about, but there are always people who touch the red line. Reversing the trend is the acceleration of death, but there are always people who use their lifelong beliefs to carry it to the end. When success falls short and the situation is difficult to recover, many people cannot accept the result of short positions and desperate situations, but still cannot remember not setting a stop loss. Errors can happen at any time, and temptation is everywhere. Without rules, there is no square. This rule is the red line, and this rule is an invisible trap. If a trader opens their trading records and identifies the trades that caused them losses, and summarizes the reasons, it indicates that they are close to profitability.
　　
　　林先湛个人观点：自5月末以来，COMEXgold价格一路飙升，上涨超过200美元，这种涨势能否继续？林.先湛认为，关键要看1485-1525美元这一区域。随着全球经济明显放缓，各国央行正做出反应，承诺进一步降息，放松货币政策。美联储已经进行了一次降息，并提前叫停量化紧缩计划。未来一周既定的重要政经事件清淡，关注焦点可放在主要经济体的数据上，比如美国CPI和零售销售、欧元区和德国GDP等，从中一窥经济的健康状况。下周美国还将公布6月工业产出、7月新屋开工、8月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值等数据，预期结果可能喜忧参半。从长期的黄金价格走势图表看，每当黄金ETF持仓量达到新的高点，黄金价格也会随之达到新高，因此长期来看为黄金上涨走势打开了空间，但也要警惕多头获利离场的风险。
　　
Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:
　　
　　黄金日线来看：单边上涨；MACD金叉红色动能柱继续扩大，KDJ依然金叉运行，均线多头排列，多头明显占据上风，上风初步阻力在周三高点1510Nearby, strong resistance2011year12Monthly low point1522Nearby,2012year5月份低点阻力在1527Nearby;2013year4month4Resistance at daily low points1540附近，该位置阻力都极强强，短线有效上破的可能性极低。由于KDJ非常比较超买区域，金价短线涨幅过大，需要提防短线的回调风险；短线1490附近还存在支撑，较强的支撑在5Daily moving average1487Near.
　　
Gold4小时来看：单边上涨震荡；KDJ高位钝化后死叉，MACD高位结成死叉向下，K线显示上涨动能有所减弱，短线存在一定的回调风险，目前还受到1490附近支撑，若失守该位置，则可能会试探1481Nearby support,20The daily moving average is supported by1487Nearby, strongly supported1400以来涨势的38.2%Retreat position1468.48附近。上方高点阻力在1510附近，若能顶破该阻力，则金价可能会延续之前的涨势。综合来看，操作思路上林先湛个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1510-1512Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1480-1484一线支撑（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注林先湛本人官||Wei:lxz1576）
　　
Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:
　　
Friday(8month9day)U.S.AWTIcrude oil9monthfuturesIncome increase1.96USD, or3.7%Report54.50dollar/桶，本周跌幅为2.1%. Brent crude oil10Monthly futures closed higher on Friday1.15USD, or2%Report58.53dollar/桶，本周大跌5.4%。茆易紧张局势成为油价反弹的最大拦路虎，虽然沙特等国可能会采取行动支撑油价，但需求面威胁加大令油价本周没能收复失地。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading52.37dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their lowest point in the session57.11dollar/Bucket.
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD依然死叉，后市下行风险仍存，初步支撑仍在6month18Daily low point51.60Nearby, then6Monthly low point50.60附近支撑；需要跌破该位置，才能打开进一步下行空间。不过，KDJ初步结成金叉，油价短线偏向继续反弹，上方初步阻力在60.94以来跌势的38.2%Retreat position54.56附近，先.湛认为若能收复该位置，则增加短线反弹信号。较强的阻力在20Daily moving average55.78Nearby, also50%回撤位阻力所在。短线4hourMACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，油价初步企稳于布林线中轨上方，上方通道得以打开，上方初步阻力在日内高点54.71Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance55.1附近，若突破该位置则增加中线看涨信号，综合来看，周一操作思路上林先湛个人建议反弹高空为主，回撤做多为辅，上方重点关注54.8-55.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.1-52.7一线支撑。（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注林先湛本人官||Wei:lxz1576）
　　
　　行情瞬息万变，操作策略为实时短线策略，仅供参考，朋友0中每日将会不定时更新实时策略；
　　
　　原油黄金单子被套怎么解？
　　
　　市场上面永远是有两种声音的，一种告诉你后市会跌；另一种是在告诉你，后市会涨。没有哪天市场上会统一的看涨或者看跌。因为那样的话，市场上就只有一种人了，全部赚钱的或者全部亏损的，这样不符合市场定律。所以下单后，不要去想着市场上别人如何评论后市的涨跌，因为那样方向不一的言论会动摇你的下单依据，会让你不知道是继续持仓还是趁早离场。或许看到和自己一样离场的言论，那么就会觉得很有信心，肯定会赚大钱，但是方向不一致的时候，就觉得特别的紧张，或许在这样紧张的心态下做出错误的判断和决定！不要做出无法控制的操作，降低风险是首要！
　　
　　先湛认为，套单在手，首先，第一步，你应该看看日线，趋势如何！第二步，观察重要支撑和阻力点，第三，做决策，自己决定是锁仓，止损或者是反手，还有是死扛！如果你单子是逆势单，那你很简单，设置一个重要点位的止损。如果破位，坚决止损，反手！实在不乐意损，如果你很有魄力，可以双倍做顺势单，以此赚回账面浮亏。
　　
　　结语：在我这里，不会承诺你盈利多少，我能做的是帮你合理的把控仓位，利用支撑和阻力位下单，让每一单有理可依，有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意进场，请对自己的资金负责。如果你对行情真的无法把握，可以前来找到先湛，多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失。永远记住一句话，专业的人做专业的事，一切实战只为盈利，合作只为双赢。
　　
　　本文由林先湛（官微：lxz1576；龚肿浩：林先湛）分析师独家原创，本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有延迟，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处