刘煜贤：黄金最新分析补充报告，回落走势将来

　　本周金价在受到上周尾盘利好及技术买盘推动下，盘初周一开盘显直线拉升，除此之外，当天全球股市飘绿，川普汇率言论令市场避险情绪大幅提升，美元大幅下挫，已失守98关口。推动gold当日涨幅超30美元。在此之后，利好进一步延续，并在周三美债收益率倒挂程度严重，市场对于经济衰退的担忧加剧，全球央行展现宽松预期，加之中东局势、全球央行购金等因素，也同时押注美联储将会很快降息。使得金价大幅上行到达张尧浠所看好的千五时代。录得日内及周高点1510附近，续创出六年来的新高度。
　　
　　另外，白银也大幅飙升，升破17Da Guan, Chuang13个月新高。不过美元指数在大幅下跌后跌势有所企稳反弹，美股市场也有所回升，数据上也对美元形成提振。另外，也有金价在首次触及千五高后出现的获利回吐和正常下修。而导致周四周五短线震荡运行。并收入1497附近。当周上涨达59USD.
　　
　　刘煜贤认为；目前黄金价格仍显示为强势。像上述所说的利好因素支撑金价，同时也是趋势的影响力度。值得注意的是，黄金经过连续多头的散发，形态需求中还差一波回落大跌的周转。从黄金当前的走势来看，高空或是最佳稳健的策略。上涨动力不足，且高位震荡，极易产生回落行情，所以我的观点是：1、不再高位做多。2、以做空为主
　　
　　对于下跌的目标，破位1488继续下看1470。
　　
　　而下周需要密切关注美国一系列重要的经济数据，包括美国7monthCPI、7月零售销售、进口物价指数、工业产出、消费信心，美国房事数据等等。重点在下周二的CPI和周四的零售销售。CPI数据及零售如其中任何令人失望都有助于金价上涨，因为它促使人们认为，美联储将不得不降低实际利率，以推动通胀。
　　
　　此外，全球央行的降息预期、中东地缘局势、英国脱欧等焦点仍然有可能被市场重点炒作。以及川普的日常动态也要注意。
　　
　　当然最近做空黄金的投资者，一定哀鸿遍野，仿佛看不到希望。做为一个在1470一路唱空的投资者，如何自保解救？
　　
　　相信很多业余交易者都会犯这个错误，就是在开仓之后一路加仓，最后变成了赌气似的交易(His inner thoughts are as follows: I don't believe that the market won't reverse, and then I can still make a big profit). This Sunflower Encyclopedia+The super combination of Seven Hurt Fist is the ultimate weapon that killed Bill and also the root cause of the explosion. I have my own theory: the security of funds decreases geometrically as the number of positions increases. hypothesis1Ten thousand US dollars, open1Hand, safety factor reverse80US dollars; If the opening is followed closely2Hand, the safety factor immediately drops to40US dollars. If you open the3Where are the hands? Sorry, perhaps a significant fluctuation in one night resulted in a liquidation. So, no matter how large the principal is, never trade like this.
　　
My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and I publish transactions in real-time on Pengyouquan. I'm not afraid of you asking questions or not being able to find directions. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
As for some people who may say, "How long can I hold on to a deep set of orders in my hand?" Therefore, it is necessary to judge based on your position report. In response to this situation, five or six investors have contacted the topic that I am most concerned about. At that time, I will also provide the most timely countermeasures based on real-time market trends.
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　8.11(Writing))