Li Wen Dianjin:8.8晚间黄金走势及操作策略，黄金短期有调整迹象 长期继续看好

　　周三晚间gold扩大涨幅，继续刷新六年新高至1510美元，整体环境的持续利好，对金价形成有力支撑。当前，推动金价上涨的“三驾马车”，即贸易纠纷、经济放缓和全球降息，仍看不到一丝变动的迹象，世界格局整体动荡，令低风险资产黄金受到投资者青睐，各国央行也加大买进黄金的力度，整个上半年黄金市场需求创造三年来新高。李文点金认为，基本面无法改善，将令黄金价格的长期趋势继续看好，这也符合我在今年六月初的判断，在美联储结束本轮货币宽松政策之前，黄金很难改变目前的上升趋势。
　　
　　黄金的上涨，可以说是早有迹象。我在今年5月份的时候，就在《美债收益率倒挂 长线看好黄金价格》这篇文章里说过，“随着减税政策的利好刺激逐渐消退，美联储继续逐步加息和收紧金融环境，必将对美国经济造成打击，其增长大幅回落不可避免，美联储将会陷入加息与不加息的两难境地之中，市场对于美联储降息的预期会再次升温。如果长期美债收益率持续下滑的走势近期得不到限制，说明市场对美国经济疲软的忧虑加剧，并使得市场进一步下调对美国经济的预期，拖累美元下行”。目前来看，这一切都已经变成现实。
　　
　　美债收益率倒挂，是市场对经济前景悲观的体现。早在去年12月的时候，美债收益率就出现过倒挂的迹象，今年三月份，美债收益率再次倒挂，且持续到现在已经接近5个月的时间，而在昨天，3月期和10年期的美债收益率倒挂达到37Basis points ，创造2007年以来最大倒挂幅度，10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen to2016year10The lowest level since the beginning of the month,30年期美债收益率逼近历史低点。收益率倒挂加深，推动市场避险，这直接导致昨天金价大幅拉升，刷新六年高位，更为关键的是，收益率长期倒挂，这意味潜在的经济衰退风险正在加剧，而随之带来的影响，便是各国央行纷纷开始降息，以维持经济正常发展。要知道上一次美债收益率严重倒挂，美国次贷危机正在亮起红灯。经济衰退的风险，为市场带来大量避险情绪，作为避险资产的黄金，这个时候就成为很多投资者的选择。
　　
　　黄金：日线上，黄金单边上涨。最近五个交易日，黄金涨幅超过100美元，尽管日内金价目前为止向下回落，跌破1500整数关口，但均线指标多头排列，布林带向上开口，MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，李文点金认为黄金的上涨信号依旧强烈，目前上方初步阻力关注1500整数关口，其次关注六年高位1510附近，下方支撑关注布林带上轨1490Nearby, second5Daily moving average1474附近。四小时上，黄金单边上涨后有调整迹象。5日均线向下拐头，可能下穿10Daily moving average,KDJHigh dead cross,MACD有形成死叉的迹象，金价自六年高位回落，在跌破1500整数关口后，短期有高位震荡整理的可能，上方阻力关注日内高点1506Nearby, support attention below10Daily moving average1494附近，其次日内低点1491Near.
　　
Gold:1492Long nearby, stop loss1488, look at the goal
　　
If your operation is not ideal and you are trapped in a loss trap, here is a professional technical analysis. You can follow Li Wen's advice on Jin Wei:(ldw⑥ ⑥ ⑤ ⑨)Communicate, exchange, and obtain guidance. Every day, Asia, Europe, and the United States will provide timely analysis and direction!
　　
How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
　　
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　为什么总是做不好交易，是不是现在市场不好做了，难道是我运气不好，还是老师指导有问题？无数次的疑问，无数次的解答，终究还在于你自己是处于一个什么样的心态去看待这个充满金钱的市场。李老师本人来看：其实这并不是市场本身难做，而是始终过不了自己那关，所有的亏损几乎都来自于套单、重仓、满仓和逆势操作，其次就是存在（侥幸心理）总是 Want to 着回调或反弹一点我就出，最后市场反向走，机会就这样流走；自己操作时往往会出现这样的情况；获利快速平仓，亏损就死扛；就是我们俗称的“拿不住”操作上建仓和平仓把握不准，仓位上单子着急的朋友可以关注李文点金。
　　
Official account: Li Wen Dianjin
　　
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Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00(It never stops on weekends and can be consulted at any time) Entering the market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659）