Li Wen Dianjin:7.20黄金原油走势分析，原油下周会跌吗？

　　广大读者朋友们晚上好：交易之道在于变，变则通，通则达，达则成；交易之根本在于稳，稳中求进，进而不发，发而不乱，方能锁盈拒亏！老师不是神，单单准、做空就跌、做多就涨的操作不现实，投资无时无刻都面临着一定的风险，老师要做的就是根据学员的具体仓位情况时刻控制风险，最大化降低风险从而来巩固我们的利润！
　　
Message face:
　　
SpotgoldFriday（7month19日）大幅下挫，美市盘中最低下探至1420.25dollar/盎司，金价在触及日内高位后震荡下行并出现直线跳水，已跌破1430关口。白银也小幅转跌，最低触及16.08dollar/盎司，仍处于4个月的高位。美元则强劲反弹，美元指数最高触及97.19, still running on97Above the gate.CME“美联储观察”显示，美联储于7Monthly interest rate reduction50个基点的可能性下降至25%，周五早些时候的预期为41%。
　　
　　日内公布的美国7月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值为98.4, higher than the previous value98.2低于预期98.8，美国密歇根大学消费调查主管Curtin评论称，消费者信心维持了自2017年初以来的良好水平；消费者将高通胀视作经济增长的威胁。数据对美元形成了一定的提振。
　　
Friday(7month19day)美市盘中，市场再传来一则有关中东地区的消息。此前有报道称，一艘悬挂英国国旗的油轮在经过霍尔木兹海峡时，突然转向伊朗领海。英国据悉正在就脱离航线的英国船只寻求更多信息。随后很快，伊朗革命卫队(IRGC)正式宣布，在波斯湾扣留了一艘英国油轮。消息传来之后，美、布两油短线上涨。
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　技术面来看，黄金涨至六年高位1452.87美元，但在接近前期高点1438附近迅速回落。日图上技术指标似乎有些过度，RSI指标在触及70水平后反转走低，而MACD线已经在触发水平附近找到阻力。如果金价成功突破日高，那么可能会触发逼近1475美元关口的另一轮看涨反弹，这一水平是2011year7月高点。强势升破则令所有注意力转向1520USD, this is2011year12月的低点。强支撑位于1,266-1,452.87The upward trend of the US dollar23.6%Fibonacci retreat1409美元附近，位于20日均线附近。整体而言，黄金在中长期交易中都处于看涨走势中，在日内高点附近存在一个关键的阻力位。黄金多头近期仍具有技术优势，金价仍处于7周的上升趋势之中，但金价近期上涨过快，因累积了过多的获利盘，面临抛售压力。不过多头已重返1400美元大关并挑战了顽固阻力位1450大关，上行动力并未消失；若金价跌破千四大关，空头有卷土重来的可能。综合来看，下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议以高沽低渣即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1436.66；1438.75；1446.62；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1419.89；1413.32；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以李文点金指导实盘为准！如果有仓位上套单锁单的朋友，请及时与我联系添加薇-Core:zh66646实时免费解套。
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　技术面来看，日线上周四日K线收阴，延续前几个交易日的下跌，本周已经录得4连阴，空间释放较大；短线4小时来看，四小时连续下挫，走出三重低点，伴随整理之后的单根大阳放量，后面续阴不足，转为阳线反弹修正，布林带处于开口状态，均线三线向下平行延伸，KDJ向上弯钩延伸，MACD指标绿色动能柱开始缩量，快慢线向上弯钩有形金叉迹象，短线上来看，油价在触及低点后开始反弹上涨，短线偏下行风险依旧存在；综合来看，下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:56.65；57.09；
　　
Pay attention to support below:55.0；54.84；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以李文点金指导实盘为准！如果有仓位上套单锁单的朋友，请及时与我联系添加薇-Core:ldw6659实时免费解套。
　　
How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00（周末也从不停歇，可供随时咨询）市有风险，投资需谨慎。
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659）