Peng Yuxin:7.19黄金高位震荡行情分析，操作策略布局解套

　　北京时间周五凌晨2:00纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在央行研究协会(CEBRA)2019年年会发表讲话，威廉姆斯表示目前预计美国中性利率在0.5%左右，投资者将低通胀数据视为新的常态，从零利率上获得的教训是需要采取迅速的行动。长期压力使得中性利率下降的情况料将持续。较低的长期利率有助于创造良好的金融环境，允许刺激措施加速生效，并推动通胀上升。
　　
　　在利率触及零后承诺能够提高通胀水平，这种做法几乎可以抵消低利率所带来的负面影响。如果通胀持续低于目标，人们的预期或继续推动通胀下行，从而降低美联储的有效能力。美国短期利率futures上涨，此前美联储威廉姆斯认为有必要采取能够为经济抵御风险的措施。联邦基金利率期货暗示交易员目前预计美联储于7month30-31日召开的会议上降息50The probability of a basis point is59%，周三为34%。随后国际gold不断突破历史新高，在1425附近直接上冲到1446附近，涨幅高达20美金之余，刷新了2013year5月以来新高！
　　
Thursday(7month18day)美元大跌，黄金飙升，现货黄金创2013year5New high since the beginning of the month1452.89美元，美元指数刷新近二周低点至96.66，纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示他目前对美国长期中性利率预估在0.5%左右，并称当经济出现有问题的迹象时，央行应该迅速采取行动；他的言论推升了降息预期，美国利率期货走势显示，现在预计降息50个基点的机率为71%，是周三晚间暗示的水平的两倍多。受易和供应过剩疑虑拖累，油价盘中一度跌逾3%，跌至近一个月最低点。经济疲软的迹象支持美联储放松货币政策，增强了黄金的吸引力。
　　
　　黄金日线来看：反弹破新高；黄金打破了近期的宽幅震荡区间，KDJ金叉随机指标向上延伸，MACD双线粘合有结成金叉迹象，绿色能住缩减，MA均线整体呈多头排列，后市有望继续展开反弹；黄金4小时来看：震荡反弹，KDJ金叉背离，MACD金叉，红色能量柱显着，各项均线多头排列，4小时级别黄金有延续涨势；小时线来看：短线拉升，KDJ高位结成死叉，MACD死叉，红色能量柱缩减，5日均线开始拐头向下，接下来将有可能会有所回调；整体来看还是多头趋势，操作上建议低多为主，反弹高空为辅；今日黄金上方关注1455Resistance, pay attention below1438Support;
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　策略一、黄金反弹1455Short on the front line, stop loss1458Look at the target below1448frontline;
　　
　　策略二、黄金回撤1440Long on the front line, stop loss1436On the target1452frontline;
　　
　　以上观点仅代表彭宇鑫个人看法，如果你觉得上述彭宇鑫的观点对你有帮助，可以添加彭宇鑫薇//亻言：“pyx66832”Every day, there will be timely analysis of golden strategies, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services (all free!!!) to wholeheartedly answer every investment problem you have.
　　
　　黄金解套策略
　　
　　1、黄金被套了怎么办？
　　
Many investors start to panic and worry after being covered, constantly asking multiple teachers for their opinions on whether it will rise or fall. During their questioning process, they had already missed the best opportunity to remedy it. That's why my friends who make orders with me must learn first and learn to judge for themselves.
　　
　　2、黄金被套了第一时间该干嘛？
　　
As an investor, you should learn to be responsible for your own funds. After all, your money is earned through hard work, not just by lying down in a flood. Therefore, before investing, you must learn the ability to make your own judgments. When you set an order, do not be at a loss and start to panic to find your teacher. Instead, you should be calm and follow your own judgment to make the most correct choice. Then go to your teacher and see if their opinions are the same as yours. If the direction is clearly reversed, be decisive and take advantage of the situation.
　　
　　3、黄金被套了怎么解决？
　　
After locking the order, you need to choose the appropriate time to unlock it, that is, to close the two orders separately. If you never close the position, although the loss displayed on the account remains unchanged, in addition to bearing the interest on the overnight order, your subsequent operations will also be affected. There are two difficulties in unlocking: the point and time of unlocking. At what point and when to unwind will directly affect the profit and loss of your account. Simply put: It is best to find a break point, and the time must be when the market direction is clear.
　　
　　4、黄金解套最直接办法
　　
　　手上有单子被套的朋友，可以找彭宇鑫老师聊一聊，根据具体行情和仓位大小及进场点位被套深度采取果断应急的解套方案。手上有单子被套的可以与我取得联系。由于我不知道你套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解决方案，需要解决单子被套问题的或挽回亏损的朋友可联系我。
　　
　　　彭宇鑫温馨提示：
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Author of this article: Peng Yuxin
　　
　　黄金投资指导薇//Your words:pyx66832
　　
　　作者赠言：人生若只如初见，相逢相聚便是缘！愿你我始于文字，合于性格,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.