Li Wen Dianjin:7.19黄金还会继续涨吗？黄金价格最新走势分析操作策略

　　广大读者朋友们上午好：
　　
The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
　　
　　【影响goldcrude oil走势的国际消息面】
　　
　　北京时间周五凌晨2:00纽约联储主席威廉姆斯(John Williams)在央行研究协会(CEBRA)2019年年会发表讲话，
　　
　　威廉姆斯表示目前预计美国中性利率在0.5%左右，投资者将低通胀数据视为新的常态，从零利率上获得的教训是需要采取迅速的行动。长期压力使得中性利率下降的情况料将持续。较低的长期利率有助于创造良好的金融环境，允许刺激措施加速生效，并推动通胀上升。在利率触及零后承诺能够提高通胀水平，这种做法几乎可以抵消低利率所带来的负面影响。如果通胀持续低于目标，人们的预期或继续推动通胀下行，从而降低美联储的有效能力。美国短期利率futures上涨，此前美联储威廉姆斯认为有必要采取能够为经济抵御风险的措施。
　　
　　周五早间，黄金延续隔夜的涨势，升破1450dollar/盎司关口，续刷2013year5The new high since the beginning of the month. Up to1452.78美元，随后直线下跌，自高点回落近12美元，回落至1440美元附近。美指短线拉升近30点，非美货币集体下挫，欧元兑美元短线下挫逾30点，美元兑日元短线拉升近40点，现报107.50。此前纽约联储表示美联储威廉姆斯的讲话与潜在的政策行动无关。
　　
　　【黄金原油行情分析及今日操作策略】
　　
　　------ 黄金方面 ------
　　
　　对于这两天黄金连续深夜暴涨的走势，我们不得不说这次分析到了但是没有吃到。这不由的让人深思一个问题，交易活跃时间段改变了吗？从成交量来看交易的密集区还是属于每天晚上的8Point to11点这个阶段，而价格波动却没有在这个时间段有所呈现，对于日内投资者来说这无疑是错过最好的价格波动，因为时间因素总是让我们与一些机会擦肩而过。昨天黄金尾盘的暴涨有部分原因是美联储官员讲话刺激，还有一部分原因是美伊方面地缘政治风险问题。技术上昨天上午分析文章中李文点金讲到黄金已经具备了上破1439高点的条件，并且建议回调1418下方继续布局多单看上破的思路。但是昨天晚间数据利空和交易时间段四小时以阴线报收的因素放弃了继续做多的机会，而选择观望。
　　
　　在方向上我们判断是多，在操作上则只有两种选择分别是进场做多和观望。今天早上打开盘面一看价格上破了1439，最高触及到了1452价位。就当前的技术结构模式，黄金在1439-1381区间震荡，这次上破确认了段落1381-1437，1385-1427和本次启动点1400是酝酿这次上升的基础结构框架，可以称为主趋段。根据浪型价格走势的点位限制，黄金若要保持上升势头回测不能进入到1427的价格局域，加上价格破位创新高以及昨天日线的K线形态，当下的操作思路回调机会做多，在没有能确认上升出现结束信号的情况下，不采取高空方案。日内下方可以关注1435附近的支撑继续低多为主，上方关注1452一线阻力。若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注李文点金レ，亻言：ldw6659Get more real-time guidance.
　　
　　7.19黄金日内策略参考：
　　
Withdrawal1435-1437Multiple orders entering, stop loss4Points, target1445-1450；
　　
Rebound1448-1452Empty order entry, stop loss4Points, target1435-1437；
　　
　　由于近期金价波动较大，仓位需要酌情调低，止盈和止损需要适当放大。投资者需要认清一点，对于普通投资者来说，大部分时间应该以观望为主，耐心等待最好的机会出手，避免频繁交易是公认的致胜秘籍之一。不要企图抓住全部的波动，也不要奢望把握每一段行情。
　　
　　------ In terms of crude oil ------
　　
　　原油昨天思路相对比较简单，就是看56关口的得与失，价格下破直接看到目标位就是54.8附近，原油下破之后也如期到达此位并且获得了有效支撑。原油日线连续以阴线报收，本周原油从60.8价位回落至昨天低点54.8跌幅已经达到6美金，加上支撑位的作用，短期已经不再适合低位做空的思路，并且超跌之后可能会出现强势反弹的行情进行修正。所以日内操作上低多思路为主，而上方高空要看57.5-57.0区域，下方继续关注55一线支撑。若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注李文点金レ，亻言：ldw6659Get more real-time guidance.
　　
　　7.19原油日内策略参考：
　　
Callback55.0-55.2Multiple orders entering, stop loss0.4Points, target56.5-57.0；
　　
How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00（周末也从不停歇，可供随时咨询）市有风险，投资需谨慎。
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659）
　　
　　李文点金