Li Wen Dianjin:7.19黄金多头之路开启，今日最新现货黄金原油分析及操作建议策略

　　广大读者朋友们早上好：goldanalysis:
　　
　　北京时间周五凌晨2:00纽约联储主席John Williamsstay2019yearCEBRA年会发表讲话
　　
　　John Williams表示目前预计USD中性利率在0.5%左右，投资者将低通胀数据视为新的常态，从零利率上获得的教训是需要采取迅速的行动。长期压力使得中性利率下降的情况料将持续。较低的长期利率有助于创造良好的金融环境，允许刺激措施加速生效，并推动通胀上升。在利率触及零后承诺能够提高通胀水平，这种做法几乎可以抵消低利率所带来的负面影响。如果通胀持续低于目标，人们的预期或继续推动通胀下行，从而降低美联储的有效能力。美国短期利率futures上涨，此前美联储Williams认为有必要采取能够为经济抵御风险的措施。
　　
　　联邦基金利率期货暗示交易员目前预计美联储于7month30-31日召开的会议上降息50The probability of a basis point is59%，周三为34%。
　　
　　随后国际黄金不断突破历史新高，在1425附近直接上冲到1446附近，涨幅高达20美金之余，刷新了2013year5月以来新高！
　　
　　目前黄金受消息面影响已经破位历史新高，目前在1448附近震荡，目前技术面来看都是全面看涨，后市李文点金料黄金价格有望继续刷新新高，后市操作上暂建议以低多为主，空单暂不做安排，接下来黄金目前主要关注上方1450-1455一线阻力，下方主要关注1430Support.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
Step back1430Nearby stabilize long, stop loss4USD, target1440，激进者可在1440附近直接做多，目标1450-60，空单暂不安排。
　　
If your operation is not ideal and you are trapped in a loss trap, here is a professional technical analysis. You can follow Li Wen's advice on Jin Wei:(ldw⑥ ⑥ ⑤ ⑨)official account:李文点金——(lwdj6659)沟通交流获取指导，每天亚、欧、美盘都会及时给出分析和方向！
　　
　　crude oilanalysis:
　　
　　近日伊朗卫队扣押了一艘外国油轮，称该油轮载有100万桶“非法运输燃油”。油轮上有12名船员，中东局势仍充满未知。但2019年消费增长可能放缓至略高于10010000 barrels/日的水平，因全球工业增长持续放缓背景下保护主义升温，严重打压今年的石油需求增长。然而，对于供应过剩的担忧有些过头，美国及全球的核心石油库存趋势仍然提供支撑，市场低估了需求下滑趋势，而高估了供应增长担忧。
　　
　　油价顺势继续走跌，EIA数据的公布未能对油价带来过多提振，在数据利多的情况下，油价也几乎未做任何抵抗，行情一路下行，刷新了近半月来的低点技术面来看，日线图MACD顶背离后死叉运行，KDJ死叉，短期均线重新结成死叉，后市偏向震荡下破，昨日纽盘时段失守56.04附近支撑，下方通道初步打开；短线进一步下探6month10Daily low point54.84附近支撑；进一步支撑在6month19Daily low point53.50附近。不过，若油价能重新运行在56.04上方，则油价仍有可能维持震荡走势，200The daily moving average resistance is currently at58.02Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance58.49Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance59.25附近，若意外收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上李文点金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1、54.2-54.5分批做多止损0.3USD target55.5-55.7
　　
　　2、56.8不破短空，止损0.3USD target56.0
　　
How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00（周末也从不停歇，可供随时咨询）市有风险，投资需谨慎。
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659）
　　
　　李文点金