Peng Yuxin:7.15黄金涨势已趋缓，后市操作建议布局解套

　　自上周美联储主席鲍威尔发表鸽派言论后，市场几乎认定美联储7月底降息将是板上钉钉，由此导致近期gold始终运行千四之上。不过，随着1438年高压制有效，以及美国就业市场和通胀指标均表现强劲后，黄金滞涨的现象说明了市场仍对美联储降息的力度摇摆不定，或许最终出现保持利率不变的概率很小，可降息50个基点的可能性也不高，而除去这两个选项，剩下的只有降息25个基点，但由于降息25个基点的预期早已被市场消化，所以，我认为在美联储做出最终的降息选择之前，只要不出现有关地缘局势的突发消息，黄金不仅很难突破1438年高，甚至还存在大幅度下行的可能。
　　
　　再从技术面来看，上周周线录得一根带有上下影线的中阳，导致价格有效运行短期均线上方，且短期均线继续向上延伸，当前分别于1358and1406形成支撑，其它各周期指标呈现多头排列，布林带整体偏向上行，由此说明多头占据优势，不过，鉴于sto双线仍然保持死叉形态，且已下破超买区，加之RSI指标未表现出明显的上行迹象，短周期指标又与K线存在轻微背离之势，所以，周线整体需防黄金随时上演冲高回落走势！
　　
　　日线方面，上周五金价于后半夜反弹并转阳，今早多头借势二次触高，但未能形成进一步上破，导致当前价再度回撤接近短期均线支撑，而随着短周期指标拐头下行，与之K线发展基本配合到位，加之布林带整体上行无力，sto双线有意结成死叉，RSI指标更是优先向下放量，所以，日线整体更倾向调整。4小时上，自早盘金价冲高回落后，当前运行短期均线之间，虽然短期均线呈上扬形态，但由于布林带整体无力上行，其它各周期指标上扬势能衰竭，加之sto双线保持死叉形态向下延伸，RSI指标也存在下行放量迹象，因此4小时级别整体属于空头占据优势。
　　
　　综合上述，日内操作建议以高空思路为主，上方先留意1420阻力，之下看千四关口，以及1390一带的调整，若多头强势上破，则重点关注1438年高，此处不破，依旧于下方布局中线空单。对于支撑，先关注千四关口，上周五金价于此反弹并转阳，说明市场买盘充足，因此之上视为调整，若下破，则意味空头短期占优，支撑也将随之关注1390一带，至于此处是成防守，还是成压制，则需根据实际走势再进行判断，不过，可以明确的是，空头要想真正变强，仍需有效下破1380，否则得到美联储降息支撑的多头还将轻而易举的夺回失地！总之，现在黄金处于1380-1438区间宽幅震荡，任何时间见到一方破位，即可顺势跟进，而未破之前，切不可过分的看单边势头！
　　
　　黄金部分操作点位
　　
　　1, rebound1416-1418一线参与空单，破1420止损，目标下看1406-1400区域，若千四失守，则继续下看1395-1390region
　　
　　2，首次见到1400Long nearby, stop loss1398On the target1407-1410frontline
　　
　　以上观点仅代表彭宇鑫个人看法，如果你觉得上述彭宇鑫的观点对你有帮助，可以添加彭宇鑫薇//亻言：“pyx66832”Every day, there will be timely analysis of golden strategies, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services (all free!!!) to wholeheartedly answer every investment problem you have.
　　
　　黄金解套策略
　　
　　1、黄金被套了怎么办？
　　
Many investors start to panic and worry after being covered, constantly asking multiple teachers for their opinions on whether it will rise or fall. During their questioning process, they had already missed the best opportunity to remedy it. That's why my friends who make orders with me must learn first and learn to judge for themselves.
　　
　　2、黄金被套了第一时间该干嘛？
　　
As an investor, you should learn to be responsible for your own funds. After all, your money is earned through hard work, not just by lying down in a flood. Therefore, before investing, you must learn the ability to make your own judgments. When you set an order, do not be at a loss and start to panic to find your teacher. Instead, you should be calm and follow your own judgment to make the most correct choice. Then go to your teacher and see if their opinions are the same as yours. If the direction is clearly reversed, be decisive and take advantage of the situation.
　　
　　3、黄金被套了怎么解决？
　　
After locking the order, you need to choose the appropriate time to unlock it, that is, to close the two orders separately. If you never close the position, although the loss displayed on the account remains unchanged, in addition to bearing the interest on the overnight order, your subsequent operations will also be affected. There are two difficulties in unlocking: the point and time of unlocking. At what point and when to unwind will directly affect the profit and loss of your account. Simply put: It is best to find a break point, and the time must be when the market direction is clear.
　　
　　4、黄金解套最直接办法
　　
　　手上有单子被套的朋友，可以找彭宇鑫老师聊一聊，根据具体行情和仓位大小及进场点位被套深度采取果断应急的解套方案。手上有单子被套的可以与我取得联系。由于我不知道你套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解决方案，需要解决单子被套问题的或挽回亏损的朋友可联系我。
　　
Peng Yuxin Warm Reminder:
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Author of this article: Peng Yuxin
　　
　　黄金投资指导薇//Your words:pyx66832
　　
　　作者赠言：人生若只如初见，相逢相聚便是缘！愿你我始于文字，合于性格,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.