Li Wen Dianjin:6.30黄金原油周一是涨是跌？预测下周黄金原油行情走势，解套策略

The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
　　
　　goldMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　周五晚(6month28day)，美国公布了一系列经济数据，其中美国5Monthly CorePCE指数公布值为0.2%与预期相符。5月个人收入则要好于预期，录得0.5%。尽管单一的这份报告好于预期不会扭转美联储政策变化的趋势，但是李文点金分析认为，经济数据的坚挺可能给了美联储政策制定者一个按兵不动的理由。美联储很可能在7月份选择观望，拖到9月份再做最后的决定。
　　
Due toG20的召开以及年中的到来，市场资金都表现出了谨慎的态度。三大stock market index均有不同程度的下跌，其中沪指下跌0.6%，深成指收跌0.66%。市场资金的谨慎态度同样表现在贵金属市场，黄金在经历白天的冲高后，又再次回落转绿，表现出了资金对G20会议的谨慎态度。受益于美元指数回落，以及全球贸易局势不确定带来的避险需求。黄金TD周五收盘上涨0.12%to214.66element/克，周线八连阳，本月已大涨超过8%。尽管美元指数经历了此前的低迷表现后，本周一度有所回升，但不少基金经理都认为，美元的下行才刚开始。全球央行宽松的前景为黄金创造了一个相对而言“完美的世界”。
　　
Friday(6month28day)亚洲时段，黄金多次往下方1400支撑位置测试，但并未能够有效突破，直至美盘时段黄金再次回落下挫，同时短时间内突破1400支撑到达1398附近位置后迅速修复跌幅，并且站回1400支撑上方，以致行情并且形成虚破的情况下破1400支撑失败，后市凌晨时段黄金继续维持震荡盘整走势，直至早间亚盘开始后黄金迎来小幅上涨，从晚间1407附近位置起涨迅速到达1420上方，晚间美盘黄金开始小幅回落，最终以震荡收尾。
　　
　　技术面上均线多头排列，整体黄金趋势依旧维持在多方，下方关注MA10支撑情况位置在1395.5附近，李文点金从日线图上看，MACD红色动能柱继续缩窄，KDJ随机指标温和走平，指示金价上涨动能不足，或自高位继续小幅回落。上方压力关注1430附近位置，短期内黄金或进行宽幅震荡，等待下方MA10均线上移至价格位置承托再度走高。黄金4小时来看：黄金暂时维持升势，MACD绿色动能柱缩窄，KDJ随机指标大幅走高，指示黄金短线仍可能展开反弹。综合来看，下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1416-1421Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1403-1398一线支撑。盘间行情时时变化具体操作策略以李文点金微芯ldw6659实战为准！
　　
　　黄金下周一策略：
　　
　　,空单计划：反弹1419-1421Short selling, stop loss1425, Objective1412，
　　
　　多单计划：回踩1403Long, stop loss1398, Objective1418；
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　原油资讯：美国WTIcrude oil8monthfuturesFriday(6month28day)Closing down0.96USD, or1.6%Report58.47dollar/桶，但本月大涨9.3%，二季度下挫3.4%. Brent crude oil8月期货周五持平于66.55dollar/Barrel, up this month3.2%，二季度下跌4.7%。市场普遍预计石油输出国组织(OPEC)最终将延长减产协议，这令本月油价获得有效提振，但中美贸易关系的不确定性依然存在，这令油价上行动能遭受抑制。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading57.75dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their lowest point in the session66.08dollar/桶。美国油田技术服务公司贝克休斯28日公布的数据显示，当周美国活跃石油钻机数量为793个，环比增加4个，连续两周出现增加。
　　
　　俄罗斯总统普京在接受采访时表示，OPEC牵头的减产行动有助于稳定石油市场，预计能源问题将成为G20峰会的议事日程。但俄是否支持延长减产协议有效期，普京对此仍不置可否。这也带动了原油的下跌。但李文点金分析认为：当前美国和伊朗的关系仍然十分紧张，这种紧张关系会限制油价的跌幅。且伊朗强硬的态度可能预示着伊朗将会违反核协议，这可能导致整个中东原油供应的紧张。
　　
Technical aspect of crude oil: crude oil from4小时级别来看：高位震荡；MACDHigh dead cross,KDJ高位死叉，油价高位调整，短线留意布林线中轨57.60附近支撑，若失守该位置，则可能进一步试探布林线下轨57.17附近支撑；然后进一步支撑在近期涨势的38.2%Retreat position56.41附近。上方留意布林线上轨59.02附近阻力，若油价强势顶破该阻力，则有望打开新的上涨空间。综合来看，下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注58.9-59.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below57.1-57.5一线支撑。手上有单子被套的可与我沟通，由于李文点金不知道你们套单的点位和仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，请添/加李文点金官\/Micro:ldw6659Unlock your order.
　　
　　原油下周一策略;
　　
　　多单计划：下方57.2-57.0Long, stop loss0.4Points, target57.8-58.3；
　　
　　空单计划：油价59.0Entry, stop loss0.5Points, target58.0-57.5；
　　
　　黄金投资被套，如何快速解套？
　　
　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
　　
　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
　　
　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.
　　
　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
　　
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