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Chen Yihan:6.24Gold trend analysis, today's operational strategy is low, and there are many operational layout suggestions

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Financial hot topics:

Super Central Bank Week "once again confirmed its power last week. Under the verbal criticism of US President Trump, the Federal Reserve finally sounded the prelude to a potential interest rate cut, joining other central banks in the wave of easing. The global market staged a crazy trend, with stock and bond markets partying and the US dollar being relegated to the cold palacegoldSeize the opportunity to soar.
1At this week's major financial event, the heads of state of China and the United States agreed to hold talks in JapanG-20At the summit meeting, the market held its breath in anticipation. The tension between the United States and Iran has been escalating this week, and Trump's military strike against Iran is only "one step away".
2In terms of economic data, the most crucial factor is undoubtedly the actual situation in the first quarter of the United StatesGDPFinal value and the United States5Monthly personal consumption expenditure(PCE)The price index, which is the most favored inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve.
Gold analysis:
Gold broke out last week with a bullish candlestick and increased trading volume, reaching a high level1412One area, refreshed2013The high point since the beginning of the year, the adjustment band of the current annual cycle has been pierced,7The current economic cycle under the fate of the year seems to have begun to come to an end. Whether this is the direct driving force behind the rapid rise of the market still needs more data and evidence to support it. However, these reasons are not important, what is important is what they mean behind it? Once the road to interest rate cuts begins, the expectation of a turning point in the economic cycle will gradually become prominent, and once confirmed, the slow rise bull market for gold will officially come. During the previous cycle, it can also be said that it was during the subprime mortgage crisis(2008—2012)The interest rate cut and three roundsQEThe following gold trend is the best proof.
The current Sunday line structure and wide market washing are inevitable, and the pace and space of market operation are clearly beginning to accelerate. Last week, gold jumped short and opened low from its bullish structure, quickly exploring and washing down the market before rebounding, showing an adjustment trend without changing the short-term bullish structure. Last week, we switched to a different approach and opened flat, exploring a correction and slightly attracting a bullish trend. However, on Wednesday, DeLacy received a stimulus reversal, with the Fed's dovish support exceeding expectations. As a result, the market took the trend to the next level, and the gains continued. Thus, the two-stage market has reached its peak120There is more room for growth in the US dollar. In the coming week, whether it is a short-term adjustment or a medium-term adjustment, the space will not be small. Furthermore, emphasizing market washing is just a warning of risks. Friday Impact1412retracement 1382The rebound and closing line again is already clear evidence.
So the key now is to analyze the market situation steadily, control risks steadily, and make profits by doing orders and creating space steadily. Short term short selling and rising will inevitably lead to a dip, while short selling and pullback will be relatively stable because bullish expectations still exist. A pullback should be considered an adjustment. If you stick to the right adjustment level, your risk will be relatively small, and your profit will not differ.
Gold Operation:
1On the Golden Station1400Directly enter the market with multiple orders and stop losses above the level of the barrier3-5USD, target1408-1410-1412Near the area, break the position and continue to hold
2If gold rises1408-1410If there is obstruction near the area, you can choose to place empty orders and stop losses3-5USD, target1402-1400Near the area, break through and continue to hold
crude oilanalysis:
Last week, crude oil rebounded and recovered from the bullish trend, with the previous two bearish candlesticks stopping the decline and stabilizing. Last week, we launched a counterattack to recover lost ground. The weekly closing is a bearish candlestick. A strong rebound in a continuous bullish trend on the daily chart. Already standing above the moving average system, the rebound has turned into a reversal of the trend. The daily and weekly trends for this week are generally bullish.
From a technical perspective, the weekly bullish trend in oil prices has boosted the bullish momentum. The current oil price remains at57Above, while the position of the middle track is58.6Near the US dollar, there is still room for further upward movement in the short term. This week, pay attention to the situation of the mid track breaking, and after breaking through and stabilizing, there will be greater upward space.
In the short term, oil prices will remain stable at a high level after rising, indicating a demand for adjustment in the short term and a volatile bullish outlook in the future. On Monday, it is recommended to call back and go long, and pay attention to short-term support56.7Near.
Crude Oil Plan:
57.0Long nearby, stop loss56.5, Objective57.80-58.60
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