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石鑫伟:现货黄金、白银早间操作建议(12.8)

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石鑫伟:现货gold、白银早间操作建议(12.8)
  
Market Review:
  
Spot gold(12.5)因上周五(12month5day)Published in the United States11月非农骤增逾30万人,大大超乎所有人的意料,推升美联储提前加息的预期,并提振美元指数创下5年高位。金价至1208附近快速下破1186点位,收盘1191。日内重点关注晚间LMCIdata
  
Message face:
  
  美国劳工部(DOL)Friday(12month5day)According to published data, the United States11Non farm employment increased32.1Ten thousand people, creating2012年一月来最大升幅,远高于预期的增加23Ten thousand people, the previous value was an increase21.410000 people.11The monthly unemployment rate is5.8%, previous value is5.8%。美国劳工部还将10月非农就业人数上修至增加24.3万人。同时,美国11Monthly average hourly wage growth rate0.4%Expected growth0.2%Previous value growth0.1%;11Monthly average hourly wage rate increase2.1%The previous value is an increase2.0%。作为5年经济衰退以来“最强非农”,
  
  在送走了超级周之后,下周的金融市场也不乏看点。在11月非农大放异彩之后,北京时间周一(12month8day)23:00PublishedLMCI数据就显得格外重要,该指数是由19个就业市场相关指标综合而成。美联储将该指标定在每个月非农之后的下周一公布,其重要性,不言而喻。
  
  本次LMCI是美联储第三次公布,从10月数据来看,LMCI度数企稳在4,暗示美国就业市场并没有想象中那么强劲。鉴于11月非农录得如此大的增幅,若LMCI回升,则会进一步刺激美元走强,打压金价下跌。反之亦然。
  
Technical aspect:
  
  现货黄金:
  
  周线上来看,金价上周收取一根带上下引线中阳,上方压制位于bollMid rail1230一线,目前处于MA5,10区间整理中;日线上boll缩口运行,MA5勾头欲向下试探M10,目前处于boll中轨以生命线上企稳,附图STO死叉向下,日内重点关注下方1180-1182一线支撑,上方阻力1200frontline;4小时图上一根大阴线使得boll开口运行,STO超买区死叉,非农数据大幅利空以及美元强势反弹,若出现破位行情,可加二三零四一一五一五二,单独指导,日内操作上依旧保持高空思路,石鑫伟祝大家交易愉快!
  
Spot Silver:
  
  周线上,现货白银刷新近几年低位,最低试探2891高位,反弹3300附近高位,目前处于M5,10区间震荡,附图MACD死叉绿能衰弱殆尽,KDJ向上发散;日线上银价维持阴阳交替格局,处于BOLL中上轨区域小幅整理中,上方关注3300-3320一线阻力,下方支撑3200一线,附图MACD金叉红能衰弱,KDJ高位拐头向下运行,日内依然关注3300-3180section.
  
Spot gold trading at single point:
  
  1, step back1188Long nearby, stop loss4A dot, look up1195-1198
  
  2, rebound1196-1198Short selling, stop loss1201, Objective1190nearby
  
  3,下方挂好1180-1178Multiple orders on the first line, stop loss4Points, target6-8dollar
  
  4,若出现破位行情,可加石鑫伟2304-115-152
  
  现货白银部分做单点位:
  
  1, step back3180Long nearby, stop loss40A dot, look up3250-3280
  
  2, rebound3250-3270Short selling, stop loss3310, Objective3200-3180
  
Today's follow:
  
  10:00China11Monthly trade account(USD100mn)Previous value454expect440.0Market Impact ★★
  
  10:00China11月出口前值2069
  
  10:00China11月出口年率前值11.6%expect8.1%市场影响★
  
  10:00China11月进口前值1615
  
  10:00China11月进口年率前值4.6%expect3.9%市场影响★
  
  15:00Germany10月工作日调整后工业产出(the annual rate)Previous value-0.1%expect+0.2%Market Impact ★★
  
  15:00Germany10月季调后工业产出(Monthly rate)Previous value+1.4%expect-0.2%
  
  15:30France11monthBOF商业信心指数前值96.0
  
  17:30eurozone12monthSentixInvestor confidence index front value-11.9expect-13.5Market Impact ★★
  
  23:00U.S.A11月就业市场状况指数前值4.0
  
  23:00U.S.A11月谘商会就业趋势指数前值123.09
  
  
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