Li Wen Dianjin:6.18Analysis and operational suggestions for the morning trend of gold crude oil, and how to plan for the future market?

　　我不知道这篇帖子在市场上会不会存在，存在多久，那不重要，重要的是它能够给亏损的你带来希望，给茫然的你找到合适的方向，不管存在的时间性，我只希望有需要帮助的朋友看到这段，只要能够帮到你们，它才有存在的意义，不然只是一篇废帖！
　　
　　goldMessage analysis:
　　
Monday(6month17day)，国际金价继续承压，强劲的美国5月消费数据促使投资者重新评估，美联储是否会在本周的货币政策会议上预期发表鸽派声音。不过金价探底回升，鉴于经济前景依然面临诸多不利因素，美联储预防性降息预期仍不能排除，避险资产尚处于有利环境中。本周为央行超级周，由于本周四将有召开美联储利率决议会议，在美联储决议之前，金价可能持续在1320-1360美元区间，周四的结果将决定黄金是否会突破1360美元或跌破1320美元，近两日金价大概率以区间振荡整理为主。
　　
Gold market analysis:
　　
　　4小时来看，金价连阳之势告破，从高点1358来看，金价已经收取三根阴柱，说明上方的阻力还是比较强劲的。周五晚间的交易，也是寒了很多交易者的心，因为在上方1345做多的不在少数！周初交易的话，建议关注下方1335一线，此位置不破多头还有余力，反之则会继续下看。综合来看，今日操作思路上我建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1343-1345阻力，下方短期关注1330-1332Support.
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　建议黄金回调至1330Long nearby, stop loss4dollar
　　
　　建议黄金反弹至1344Short nearby, stop loss4dollar
　　
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　　crude oilMessage analysis:
　　
　　上周四油轮事件爆发后，油价上涨逾4%。尽管霍尔木兹海峡对海上石油运输的重要性不言而喻，且此次事件将极大影响该地区的石油运输安全，但原油的这波涨势并没有持续多久。两油在上周五的涨幅大幅收窄，美国WTIcrude oilfutures周五收低。有迹象显示，原油基本面利空因素堆叠，技术面上遭卖盘打压，原油多头恐怕还将迎来悲惨的一周。
　　
Analysis of crude oil market:
　　
　　原油从技术面来看，日线图MACDDeath fork, but the green pillar is starting to shrink,KDJPreliminary golden cross, oil prices are hit by recent lows below50.60Nearby support, there is also support above10The daily moving average and downward trend line have significant short-term variability; At present, it has broken through10Daily moving average52.68Near resistance, the space above gradually opens up; Further resistance at overnight highs53.45Nearby, followed by last week's high point54.84Nearby. And if it breaks down51.62If there is support nearby, it increases the short-term downside risk; Further support in50.60Nearby, then50Supports near integer levels.
　　
　　原油短线4小时尽管MACDandKDJ金叉，但油价受到布林线中轨和下行趋势线的压制，短线下行风险仍存，留意布林线下轨50.91附近支撑，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。上方留意19.1%Retreat position53.66附近阻力，若意外顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探布林线上轨54.60附近阻力。综合来看，晚间操作思路上李文点金个人建议采取区间高沽低渣即可，上方重点关注53.5-53.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.2-51.0Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
Suggestions53.5Short nearby, stop loss0.5dollar
　　
Suggestions51.8Long nearby, stop loss0.5dollar
　　
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Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Wen Dianjin Analysis team
　　
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