Li Dingyuan:6.14黄金高位谨防回撤，晚间金价走势解析及操作策略

　　金价仍在受美联储降息预期的支撑，数据方面；迄今公布的美国数据显示，美国经济增速于第二季度大幅放缓，出口及年初库存的增加为经济带来的暂时性提振已经开始消退。4月的制造业生产、出口及房屋销售同样录得下滑，消费者支出的增长则有所降温。加上近日公布的消费者物价指数(CPI)和就业数据不温不火，被视为美国经济可能正在失去动能的进一步迹象。
　　
　　故此，大部分企业对美国在未来一年左右的周期陷入衰退的预期从30%Up to40%。并相信美联储将最早在下周的会议上公布对联邦基金利率目标区间的下调。且预期年内余下时间将有再次降息的空间。这无疑是降低了持有无收益gold的机会成本，并令美元承压。
　　
　　此外，摩根士丹利的商业状况指数从5Of the month45点跌至13Point,6月份又下跌32点，这是有记录以来最大的单月跌幅，也是自2008year12月金融危机以来的最低水平。这一下降表明，本月各个行业的信心都在急剧恶化，基本面指标显示经济活动普遍走软。制造业分享指数为纪录最低水准，近期油价下跌可能加剧了这一降幅，而在这之中，最受益的无疑是和黄金了。
　　
————Analysis of Gold Market
　　
　　黄金周线维持思路，以生命线作为强弱分界点，5Daily moving average support1307，生命线1300关口，压力关注2018年年初高压区域1365-1370.黄金日线回踩10日均线支撑完成修正动作后依托10日均线连阳拉升，现在再次触及前期高点1358，修正结束，强势重归，依托10日均线继续向上攀升加速寻找上轨压力，从昨日的1355Move up to1361，临近周线2018年年初高压区域。
　　
Daily line10Rihe5日均线粘合支撑1335-1333区域，而早间开盘直接走高向上临近1348，再回调到均线位置就会变成支撑，坚定依据强势不深调，可以调整，但是不能深度回调，一旦出现深度回调行情则会变成震荡。四小时均线强势支撑，依托5day10日均线向上攀升，5Daily moving average1342, and10日均线则是1338，顶底转换支撑区域1340-1330，下方支撑已经完成切换，早盘直接走高，开盘低点1342-1341区域不能破位，保持均线支撑向上攀升，将会维持强势延续向上。小时图同样是依托5day10日均线攀升线上，支撑区域1345-1343，生命线防守1340，明确防守点位再1340下方，以此作为参考看黄金继续攀升向上寻找更高的压力区域。
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1360Stop loss without breaking short1365, Objective1355-1348；
　　
　　2Suggestions1342Do not break long, stop loss1337, Objective1347-1349；
　　
　　以上观点仅代表鼎缘个人看法，如果你觉得上述李鼎缘的观点对你有帮助，可以尝试添加李鼎缘レ，亻言“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
　　【李鼎缘分析团队资金管理操作规划】
　　
　　1、1We operate with a relatively stable and conservative approach at the level of one or below Wanmei Gold, as the amount of funds is not very large. Therefore, our operations are mainly focused on stability, with short-term profits as the main focus, without any aggressive operations;
　　
　　2、1Ten thousand US dollars -4At the level of tens of thousands of US dollars, we also use a stable trading strategy to operate. Of course, we need to be relatively aggressive in our position allocation, mainly combining short-term and medium-term operations to grasp band profits, and using short-term strategies to prevent profit drawdowns;
　　
　　3、5Ten thousand US dollars -10At the level of tens of thousands of US dollars, we provide a self selected operation plan to operate with20%To configure short-term positions, use30%To carry out long-term position allocation, we will not miss any band and maximize the utilization of position funds!
　　
　　4、10万美金以上级别，享受李鼎缘分析团队一对一服务，实时盯盘实时喊单服务，主攻中长线布局。
　　
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Nongfu Spring is advertising over and over again, not to make you buy immediately after seeing it, but to tell you about their persistence in water quality. Mercedes Benz stands up billboards one by one, not asking you to go immediately4SThe store collects the car, but tells you their attitude towards the car. I send suggestions time and time again, not to make you come to me immediately. Just wanted you to know aboutforeign exchangeInvestment, we are professional. Deeply analyzing the reasons for investment losses, Li Dingyuan teaches you the skills of reading the market and escorts your investment path!
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
　　分析撰稿人：李鼎缘（薇-core ldy86588）
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