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张沫梓:5.24Analysis of Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions

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  工欲善其事,必先利其器。而有些人却初生牛犊不怕虎,不带止损、扛单、频繁操作、频繁锁仓,甚至重仓,所谓一入市场深似海,当你盲目无知时,想象中的一切都是美好的;当面对现实时,你会发现收益绝不是投机取巧,更不会不劳而获,各行各业都是如此,成功的人并不多,投资交易并不适合每一个人,想分gold市场这份蛋糕,必然需要分一块蛋糕的本事。我是张沫梓,你值得信任的投资专家。
  黄金技术解析:

黄金自本周以来一直维持低位震荡盘整,基本持于1269-1278区间,周四凌晨美联储5月会议纪要公布总体维持中性立场,打压了今年降息的前景,美元指数继续受到支撑,于98关口上方整理,黄金继续于低位附近承压,金价小幅下跌,行情依然处于1274美元附近震荡盘整,整体波幅不大;周四晚间,随着初请失业金数据的公布,国际经济指标疲软,情绪不容乐观,黄金提振反弹,短线快速拉升,1278强势突破上涨,目前行情处于1286一线高点。

技术面来看,日线上短周期5日均线持续向下延伸发展,K线反弹上升至布林带中上轨;而短线4小时图上,布林带通道向上打开,K线突破上轨至1285上方,红色动能柱持续放量,形成双金叉,金价呈上升趋势;随着美国堪萨斯联储指数公布,利多黄金,美元指数走弱,持续下跌至98关口下方,黄金后市上涨力度强势。综合来看,个人建议回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅;上方短期关注1288-1290Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1278-1280Frontline support.

Golden Operation Strategy:

1Lower callback to1278-1280Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1288-1290

2Bounce from above to1290-1292Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1284-1286。
crude oilTechnical analysis:

欧洲时段,美油创3month28Recently, it has reached a new low58.83dollar/桶,跌幅超4%,因美国原油库存意外增加,且投资者担心中美贸易摩擦可能在很长一段时间内打压原油需求。上周EIA美国原油库存增加474Ten thousand barrels, to2017year7The highest since the beginning of the month4.768亿桶;分析师此前预计库存减少128.4万桶。中美关税争端的前景也重压油价,自从上一轮谈判于5month10结束后,两国高层官员之间还没有安排进一步会谈,磋商陷入僵局;中美贸易争端给经济增长和石油需求预测带来压力。经济合作与发展组织(OECD)周二下调了今年全球增长预估。

日线级来看,单边下跌;KDJDead fork operation,MACD金叉形成失败后向下运行,短线油价偏向试探100Daily moving average57.93Nearby support.3month29Daily low support59.41附近支撑已经转化为初步阻力所在,在收复该位置前,后市偏向下行;个人建议反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅;上方关注59.2-59.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below57.4-57.6Frontline support.

Crude oil operation strategy:

1Bounce from above to59.0-59.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.8-58.0

2Lower callback to57.4-57.6Short and long on the first line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target58.2-58.4




  
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2019year5month24日周五
  
  ①07:30Japan4Monthly National CoreCPIthe annual rate
  
  
  ②16:30britain4Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment
  
  
  ③18:00britain5monthCBIRetail sales difference
  
  
  ④20:30U.S.A4Monthly rate of durable goods orders
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