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【解套】邓金晋:教你遇到突发性深套行情怎么解
【现货市场套人的定理】:
现货市场套人分3步:
第一步是活埋,第2步是剿杀,第3步是清理,3步把把现货市场搞干净,盘面背离新高后,不学无术的股评和黑嘴就会说新高后面还有新高,让你买在顶上,第2天大阴把你给活埋掉。
第二部是绞杀,活埋后在没完全破位时,就会反抽,而反抽却被喊成新一轮的起动,让活埋的投资者补仓和空仓的买进,反抽1reach2天后,离前高不远的地方反身下跌,这次的下跌为剿杀。
第三步为清理,剿杀后就会一口气跌破位,这时就会喊出全空头了,开始看空了,可这时都把涨的全跌回去了,看空后,投资者就绝望了,割在地板上,可看空不到2天行情见底,新的一波重新起动。
【何为解套,怎么解套】:
解套,就是在套牢后用各种方法扭亏为盈,或者将亏损减至最低。解套的本质,可以归结为摊薄成本,一旦成本低于零,则视为解套成功。
下面现货界本人邓金晋就当下常见的套单提出几种解套方式,仅供投资者做参考,本人邓金晋需要提醒大家注意的是,解套是在投资已经遭到损失的情况下的一种被动补救措施,而且存在继续亏损的风险,因此运用这些方法时应根据自身情况而定,不能盲目乱用,否则,搞不好会落得个“杀敌一百,自损三千”的结局。
Method 1:Underlying Replenishment
这是应用最广泛,也是最简单的一种解套方法。当投资者在高位被套后,选择持仓不动,然后在低位补仓,也就是在较低的价位再次买进该货币,以期通过行情的反弹或反转来解套。当行情反弹时,高位买进多单的亏损逐步减少,低位买进多单的盈利逐渐增加,这样,即使行情不会回到原来的高度,投资者也比较容易实现解套,如果行情发展的好,还会有盈利的机会。
Risk: Low position covering relies on judgment of the market. If the trend has already reversed or the position is covered prematurely before the rebound, there is a greater risk of losses as the position is covered. This method is extremely risky for margin trading.
Note: If an investor holds a position that exceeds all positions50%Instead, alternative methods should be sought. At this point, using a low margin to cover positions will increase the exposure risk faced by investors.
Method 2:Inverse price difference[High throw and low suction]
倒价差俗称“高抛低吸”,也是非常容易操作的一种解套手段,即在行情陷于区间振荡时,将套牢多单于相对高位平仓,在行情跌至相对低位时再次买入,等候高位再次卖出,从而赚取中间的差价,达到摊薄成本的目的。
Risk: The risk of reverse price difference is relatively small. As long as the upper and lower tracks of the oscillation range are relied on, operations can be carried out smoothly. However, if the oscillation range turns to the bottom, there is a risk of going short when selling on the upper track. If the oscillation range turns into a downward relay, there is a risk of being trapped again when buying on the lower track.
Note: When performing the reverse price difference operation, it is important to avoid paying too much attention to the hourly chart. Due to frequent fluctuations in the hourly chart, it may lead to errors in determining the entry and exit points and missing the best point. Multiple references can be made4Operate on hourly charts.
Method 3: Reduce positions during high periods
Reducing positions at high points, as the name suggests, is to advise trapped investors to cut positions early, but only if the investors have confirmed that the market judgment is incorrect, and the way is to decisively close positions at the high points of the rebound market, or to close a portion of positions. This is the bottom line in the strategy of solving the trap, a "escape" tactic adopted when there is no hope of solving the trap.
砍仓也并非毫无策略可言。逢高减仓基本可以分为两个阶段实施,前一阶段是“逢高”,也就是说纵然主趋势已经和自己原有判断相悖,但是必须等待符合自身利益 的反弹行情出现方可着手砍仓;The second stage is "reducing positions", and the reason why it is referred to as "reducing positions" instead of "cutting positions" is because reducing positions cannot be "cut off" in one fell swoop. All positions that have been shorted should be sold out in a single short, and should be gradually reduced in a step-by-step and planned manner. Firstly, investors should analyze the stage in which they are being held short, that is, confirm the development trend of holding onto the currency.
如果投资者认为套牢货币目前已处趋势高位,且很有可能反转,那么投资者应该当机立断,在行情稍有改善的时候就重仓平盘,对于被套空单遵循“由重到轻”的平 仓理念。如果将被套空单分为10Equal parts, with3Taking the second opportunity short selling as an example, the proportion of short selling at this time is roughly7:2:1. In short, the greater the risk, the faster you run.
If the market range oscillates, investors should "sell every high" and follow the principle of "tight before loose" for each sold short order. Because since it is a trap, there is a risk, of course it is better to leave early, and the short selling ratio at this time is roughly5:3:2。
如果个处于趋势低位,也就是说目前行情虽然与原有判断不符,但短期内有向原有判断调转的可能,投资者不必急于离场,在行情局部反弹的时候,遵循“由 轻到重”的平仓原则,抛空比例大致为3:3:4And the time interval for short selling can be appropriately extended, and even a small amount of covered positions can be left, in order to make a small profit after the market reverses.
Risk: The difficulty of reducing positions during high periods lies in how to confirm incorrect market judgments and the timing of decision-making. If the main trend of the market is consistent with one's original judgment, but the current trend is contrary to the original judgment, investors are likely to lose their profit opportunities in vain. However, if investors discover that the market judgment is incorrect, they may wake up later and often have caused certain losses.
Note: The heavier an investor holds onto their position, the more appropriate it is to reduce their position at high points early, and the greater the delay, the greater the loss. At this point, it fully embodies the principle that "time is money".
如果您是潜在贵金属投资者或已是标准投资者,被套、没有时间分析行情、自己也不擅长分析,也厌烦了那废话连篇,却不着边际的指导建议。那么本人将是您最好的选择,分析喊单裙-2913/4126,备注邓金晋(必填)。不管你是做实仓,新手还是老手套单,都可联系本人。 |
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