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Li Wen Dianjin:5.16原油为何暴涨?黄金今日走势操作建议原油空单如何解套

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  高级金融分析李文点金:5.16crude oilWhy did it skyrocket?gold今日走势操作建议原油空单如何解套
  
Wednesday(5month15day)美元指数基本持平,回吐盘中涨幅,因美国零售销售意外下降,贸易方面的消息令美元保持震荡,欧元兑美元冲高回落,盘中一度急拉至1.1225。金价徘徊于1300美元关口,盘中呈现震荡走势,因投资者权衡美国对汽车征收关税决定延迟的消息是否足以弥补全球经济疲软的迹象。油价小幅走高,因中东紧张局势升级可能冲击全球供应,盖过了美国原油库存意外增加的影响,此外美国汽油供应减少,表明原油需求未来将会增加。
  
Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:
  
  黄金短期日线金价仍维稳于MA60均线支撑位一线,我们可以理解为当前金价结束前期大幅单边上行处于高点压力位区间给出阶段,当前金价回落区间做较大幅度拉扯1303-1293后市区间维持或需要较长时间周期,短期金价或继续维持偏高位区间震荡走势,短线出现较大幅度单边波动概率仍然偏低。李文点金考虑近期金价形成较为明显区间上移震荡走势,短期区间维持仍处于偏多区间震荡。日线图上,MACD红色动能柱不变,KDJ随机指标略偏向下,暗示黄金面临继续震荡回撤的风险。
  
Gold4小时来看:震荡上涨后回调;KDJDead fork,MACD红色柱萎缩,短线金价处于回调走势,留意短线涨势的38.2%Retreat position1289附近支撑,若失守该位置,则增加短线看空信号。由于布林线轨道向上倾斜,则后市多头仍有较大的机会,初步阻力在1300-1303附近,若金价能够坚守1289附近支撑,将增加短线看涨信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1303-1305Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1291-1292一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加笔者李文点金WeiXinNumber(ldw6659)Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
  
Gold5.16Operation suggestions:
  
  1#Bounce from above to1303-1305Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1296-1298frontline;
  
  2#Lower callback to1291-1292Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1298-1300frontline;
  
Analysis of the international crude oil market trend:
  
Crude oilEIA数据利空,但是由于美国至5month10Day and WeekEIA原油库存意外增长逾540万桶,美国上周原油库存续刷2017year9月以来最高水平。消息后美、布两油短线走高。产能受到的冲击会推高原油基准价格,但我们已将计划外供应中断的事实调整为新常态。价格上涨乏力意味着需求仍然令人担忧。金乾老师认为石油供应在短期内不会成为问题,因沙特将对伊朗原油产量减少负责,而美国原油产量仍具有弹性。
  
  原油昨日早间APIAn unexpected surge in inventory,EIAandAPI具有同向性,所以晚上EIA也是利空的。 4小时来看:震荡中拉锯带动指标,中期均线已慢慢拐头,周初经过一波诱多后的回落。单位均线也开始下压,同时布林道低位再收口。震荡中蓄势破低,上轨压力在62.6.不排除还会在布林道上下轨之间震荡,但大趋势看好多头,日图和周线还有一波下挫破掉60.0的走势。综合来看,今日短期操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注63.0-63.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below61.5-61.7Frontline support.
  
Crude oil5.16Operation suggestions:
  
  1#Bounce from above to63.0-63.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target62.2-62.4frontline;
  
  2#Lower callback to61.5-61.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target62.5-62.7frontline;
  
  注:以上分析仅做参考,行情变化万千,做单务必带上止损!投资有风险,入行许谨慎 一切以实盘为准!
  
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin  guidancewei xin  ldw6659
  
  李文点金赠言:成功不是靠运气,选择大于努力有梦想的人睡不着,没梦想的人睡不醒,聪明的人玩市场,跟风的人博市
  
  本文由资深高级金融分析师李文点金独家策划发布
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