Wise Eye and Xin Recognition:5.13Gold rebounds without breaking1292Firmly bearish, crude oil daytime operation strategy comes with a solution

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In this crisis ridden market, it is impossible to survive without strict discipline. If you just have a playful attitude and want to escape unscathed, the chances of success are almost zero. In trading, it is necessary to summarize and keep in mind your investment plan. There is no risk in investing without trading, only out of control investment has risk. Depression and despair will make you passively beaten. Nothing is more heartbreaking than the loss of self-confidence. No one wants to collapse in the face of the last straw. Why are various self proclaimed positions still unable to dominate the world. Some people say this is an industry that relies on luck, but I think the battlefield of the battle between the wise is a competition of courage. Whether a doctor treats a false illness or not, wine does not understand true sorrow. Apart from**Can you resist anything in this market? The biggest sadness in life is to be reluctant to leave even after the market is gone. Investment is a complex discipline that involves a comprehensive game of skills, techniques, mentality, and human nature. In this process, whoever has a strong risk awareness, performs well in risk management, and implements risk control measures effectively is the ultimate winner.

goldMarket trend analysis:

Last week, the US dollar index fell, and on Friday it fell to its lowest point97.13, refresh4month18At a low level since the beginning of the day, and recording a decline for the second consecutive week, in response to the pressure on the US dollar, except for the middle.beautiful.trade.In addition to the current situation, some analysts believe that the latest release of the United States4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)The report fell short of expectations, testing the Federal Reserve's information that low inflation is temporary. The concerns about international trade are the main factor driving the direction of the gold market, while changes in US inflation and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are also the focus of market attention. However, due to the weak bullish sentiment towards gold in the market recently, although there are many factors supporting gold, last week's gold trading was1277/1292Narrow range. Global attention is focused on the trade situation between China and the United States. Previously, Liu-Crane will once again go to the United States for negotiations, while the United States leaves room for tax increases and will not impose tariffs on Chinese goods departing before Friday. Once the negotiations are reached, the tariffs may not take effect. The market is gradually digesting risks, FridayA-Stocks and US stocks closed higher, with pressure on safe haven assets and limited potential for gold to move forward in the future.

From a daily perspective, it belongs to a low-level oscillation rebound; technical indicatorsMACDGolden fork,KDJThe golden cross is upward, although the gold price is still suppressed by the downward trend line, it has initially stabilized at1280Above the checkpoint, the short-term trend line is expected to break through and open up further rebound space. Currently, the resistance of the downward trend line is at the overnight high point1288Nearby; Despite the bullish trend in gold prices showing strong momentum, multiple upward attacks have failed to break through1290The first line is an important resistance level, so it is still not advisable for the gold price to be overly bullish this week1290Still insisting on medium-term bearish below, medium-term bearish is not an unconditional bearish1290-1288If the nearby checkpoint cannot be attacked and broken, short-term follow-up short positions can be taken.

4Looking at the closing of the Bollinger Bands in hours,KDJThere are signs of a dead end in the overbought area,MACDThe double line bonding signal is vague, but the previous relatively high "swallowing" bearish signal is still present, and the short-term trend is highly variable; Pay attention to the Bollinger Bands track1278-1288Regional breakthrough situation. If it breaks up1290If there is resistance nearby, it is expected to open up new upward space; Further resistance is present at1297and1302Nearby. If it breaks down1278If there is support nearby, it will increase the short-term bearish signal and further support it1272Nearby. Overall, today's operational approach is insightful and insightfulwdy6638My personal suggestion is to focus on rebounding at high levels, with long positions as a supplement, and pay close attention to the upper levels1290-1292Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1278-1276Frontline support.

Operation suggestions:

1Bounce from above to1290-1292Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1282-1284frontline;

2Lower callback to1278-1280Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1286-1288frontline;

crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Last week, the overall trading of oil prices was60to63Within the US dollar range, due to mixed market long and short factors. On the one hand, the tense situation of international trade has caused market concerns or had a negative impact on crude oil demand. On the other hand, the escalation of the US Iran confrontation has further hindered Iran's crude oil exports. At the same time, Russia has not yet resumed crude oil transportation due to pipeline pollution, resulting in a decrease in production. In addition, Saudi Arabia is adopting a wait-and-see attitude towards increasing production, exacerbating the global shortage of crude oil supply, thus maintaining a volatile trend in oil prices.

From a technical perspective: Last week, oil prices were affected by a mix of long and short news, which kept prices fluctuating within a range for most of the timeKThe line closed with a small cross star bullish candlestick, ending two consecutive weeks of decline,MACDContinue to maintain an upward momentum above the zero axis. Daily chart prices60The daily moving average position has gained support,KDThe indicator shows an upward trend at the low golden cross, indicating a further upward trend in prices; From a price perspective60The region is an important gateway for the market, and it is42.36-66.6Retracted23.6%Near the area, it belongs to a strong support zone; The price has fluctuated above this position for multiple consecutive trading days, and there is a possibility of an upward trend in the price; Overall,Having a discerning eye in operational thinkingwdy6638My personal suggestion is to sell high and sell low, and pay attention to the pressure above62.8-63.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60.8-61.0Frontline support.

Operation suggestions:

1Bounce from above to62.8-63.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.2-61.4frontline

2Lower callback to61.0-61.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target62.0-62.2frontline

There are no unsuccessful investments, only unsuccessful operations. For crude oil/Friends who are interested in gold investment but have no idea where to start, or who are already in contact but not ideal, welcome to close Zhu Gong.heavy.Hao 'Smart Eye Teacher' obtains daily market trend analysis and trading strategy guidance; If there is a set.Single lock.Single friends, please contact us in a timely manner.I will explain it to you for free.Single solution.lock

Guidance time: early6：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　文：慧眼识鑫  （ finger/guide/tiny/letter : wdy6638 ）