Zhao Honglun City:5.11Next Monday's Golden Crude Oil Operation Strategy and Suggestions

Message analysis:

Friday（5month10According to data released by the US Department of Labor, the United States4After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate recorded0.3%, lower than expected and previous values0.4%。CPIAfter the data was released, the US dollar index fell sharply in the short term, and internationallygoldShort term uptrend3The US dollar. Institutional Review: United States4Consumer price levels have risen in the month, but potential inflation remains moderate. This means that the Federal Reserve may temporarily maintain policy rates unchanged. The US Department of Labor stated that last month, driven by rising gasoline, rent, and healthcare costsCPIMonth on month increase0.3%Excluding food and energyCPISlight increase0.1%Due to a second consecutive month of decline in clothing prices. coreCPIContinuous3Maintain the same slight growth every month.


　　昨晚数据公布后，美联储货币基金利率显示2019The probability of annual interest rate cuts has slightly increased. Although the call for interest rate cuts in the market is becoming increasingly strong, the recent series of talks by the Federal Reserve are still playing Tai Chi. Powell emphasized again in yesterday's conversation that the current sluggish inflation is caused by temporary factors, and the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain a patient stance.


　　有报道认为或许美联储一早已决定要实行降息。这般欲拒还迎的姿态只是为了增加媒体对低迷通胀率的关注，让市场和公众为政策的潜在变化做好准备。此前公布的GDPBoth the non farm payroll data and the sluggish inflation rate have performed well, becoming the last straw to prove the rationality of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. The sluggish inflation data this time may be exactly what he wants.

　　黄金（国际走势）下周交易计划：


　　黄金日线来看属于低位震荡反弹；技术指标MACDGolden fork, guidanceKDJThe golden cross is upward, although the gold price is still suppressed by the downward trend line, it has initially stabilized at1280Above the checkpoint, the short-term trend line is expected to break through and open up further rebound space. Currently, the resistance of the downward trend line is at the overnight high point1288Nearby;4month12Resistance to daily highs1295Nearby, the Bollinger Bands are on track1302Nearby, the resistance at this position is strong, and it is still difficult to quickly break through in the short term. below1280Initial support has formed nearby, with this week's low support at1276Nearby, if it unexpectedly falls below that position, it weakens the rebound signal.


Gold4From an hourly perspective, it belongs to oscillation; Bollinger Bands close, technical indicatorsKDJRebuilt the golden cross, indicatorMACDThe death cross signal has weakened, but the previous relatively high "swallowing" bearish signal is still present, and the short-term trend is highly variable; Pay attention to the Bollinger Bands track1278-1288Regional breakthrough situation. If it breaks up1288If there is resistance nearby, it is expected to open up new upward space; Further resistance is present at1293and1302Nearby. If it breaks down1278If there is support nearby, it will increase short-term bearish signals and further support love1272Nearby. Overall, Zhao Hong's personal suggestion for next Monday's operational strategy is to focus on rebounding at a high altitude, with a pullback and long positions as a supplement. The focus should be on the above1291-1293Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1280-1282Frontline support.


Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:


　　1Bounce from above to1288-1290Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1282-1283


　　2Lower callback to1280-1282Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1288-1290


　　关于黄金crude oilI have already announced the operation, with an accuracy rate of over 90%. Today's profit, did you miss it?

　　原油（国际走势）下周交易计划：


　　回顾（5month9Crude oil market, opening in the morning session61.968Frontline, according to statistics, a total of5Wave market, with a downward trend after a high volatility in early trading, the second wave is in61.330After the position shows an increase, the highest hit is reached62.169On the front line, there was a turning point at the high point in the early stage, and the third wave of the market began. The oil price fell continuously, reaching its lowest point60.899First line, fourth wave of market trend appears, oil prices turn higher61.783Under pressure again, oil prices are falling61.532On the front line, the fifth wave of the market has emerged, with overall performance fluctuating.


　　日线上看，日线收小锤头线阴线，油价表现震荡盘整中，趋势指标上显示红色动能柱初步放量中，kdThe indicator's low-level golden cross is diverging upwards.4At the hourly level, the Bollinger Bands open to the right, and oil prices fluctuate before rising. Trend indicators show that the green momentum column is gradually weakening,kdThe indicator's low-level golden cross is diverging upwards. Yesterday, crude oil showed some volatility. With the positive impact of data, oil prices have been supported and will continue to rise after breaking through the range. Overall, Zhao Hongren suggests that for next Monday's operational strategy, the main focus should be on pullbacks and long positions, supplemented by rebounds and high positions. Attention should be paid to those above62.2-62.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below61.1-61.3Frontline support.


Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:


　　1Bounce from above to62.2-62.4Short nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.4-61.6


　　2Lower callback to61.1-61.3Long nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.9-62.0


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　　寄语：人对事物的认识并不完整，并由此影响事物本身的完整，得出于流行观点相反的看法。流行的偏见和主导的潮流互相强化，甚至两者之间距离大到非引起一场灾难不可，这不是你要个性留意的，也正是这时才极可能发生暴涨暴跌现象。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。以上建议仅供参考，一切以实盘为准！


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