Swiss franc : 技术走势持续向好 △ (10month22day)

Focus:
•瑞士央行暗示加息机会
•平均线呈现短期利好交叉
•短期目标指向1.15Gateway

瑞士央行上周表示如果瑞郎对通膨前景产生负面影响，其将毫不犹豫地调升利率。瑞士央行总裁何斯(Jean-Pierre Roth)周三称市场错误地以为不会进一步升息，而瑞郎亦在其讲话后显著上扬，于周四明确突破之前之争持区间，最高升见至周五报1.1654Horizontal.

波浪理论分析，瑞郎仍有机会刚运行大型上升浪的第(IV)浪内(C)Within the waves1Within the waves(2)伸延浪。瑞郎在06year2month28Daily low1.3235开始运行大 型的第(IV)Within the waves(B)Waves. from1.3235to06year5month5Daily high1.1919For the large section(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(a)Waves, and1.1919to10month 13The low point of the day1.2769For the large section(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(b)Waves,1.2769to12month5Daily high1.1878For the large section(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves (c)Waves,1.1878to6month13Daily low1.2468For the large section(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(d)Waves,1.2468to07year10month1Daily high1.1621为大 型第(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(e)浪，整个大型第(IV)Within the waves(B)浪亦在此完结。而1.1621开始为大型第(IV)Within the waves(C)浪，由 1.1621to10month9Daily low1.1824For the large section(IV)Within the waves(C)Within the waves1Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,1.1824至现在有机会为大型第(IV)浪内 of(C)Within the waves1Within the waves(2)伸延浪。预料此第(2)伸延浪应在1.1621-1.1660之间完结，当第(2)伸延浪运行完毕，第(3)伸延浪即下 跌浪便马上展开。另一假设，瑞郎亦有机会正运行大型BWithin the waves(C)Within the wavesc浪。瑞郎在今年1month26Daily low1.2576开始运行大型BWithin the waves(C)Waves. from 1.2576to4month25Daily high1.1993为大型BWithin the waves(C)Within the wavesaWaves,1.1993to6month13Daily low1.2468为大型BWithin the waves(C)Within the wavesb Waves,1.2468至现在仍为大型BWithin the waves(C)Within the wavesc浪。并以上升通道通行，预计此c浪将上升至1.15以上水平完结。

瑞郎上周一低位曾触及1.1894，未能冲破1.19，其后突破区间延伸升幅。5The moving average of the balance has broken through10Balance moving average,MACD亦见利好讯号之出现，瑞郎短期之 上升前景仍见乐观。目前关键支持为50Balance moving average1.1890水平，较重要支持预计在25Balance moving average1.1770水平，只要在回调阶段未有失守此区，瑞郎可望 维持现阶段之偏强走势。而10month1The daily high has been touched1.1610Level, expected to be a closer target at present, if it can be broken through1.16The significant resistance shown on the chart at the checkpoint will be50个月保历加通 道下轨1.1465During this period1.15The checkpoint can also indicate an important psychological checkpoint.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )