Industrial Investment: GBP falls sharply, records three consecutive losses New York Reserve Bank cuts interest rate, New Zealand dollar plummets

Industrial Investment: GBP falls sharply, records three consecutive losses New York Reserve Bank cuts interest rate, New Zealand dollar plummets
2019year5month9day
euro/dollar
周三欧元区公布的德国3Monthly industrial production growth rate0.5%，好于预期下滑0.5%;工业生产年率虽下滑0.9%，但也好于预期下滑2.6%。工业生产高于预期，表明德国经济可能并没有市场预期的悲观，提振欧元。隔夜欧元于低位持稳，并震荡向上反弹。但是，意大利方面的财政危机限制了欧元涨幅。欧盟委员会预测意大利今年的预算赤字将占其国内生产总值的2.5%, to2020The year will rise to3.5%。这可能引发欧盟与罗马政府之间又一场口水战，负面情绪令欧元承压，欧元当日仅录得小幅反弹，收在1.1196。短期或位于1.12关口附近弱势整理。今日可关注美国PPI以及美联储主席鲍威尔讲话。
The daily chart rebound is still affected by20日均线的打压明显，依然保持在此前的下行通道内，或仍有下行压力。4Hour chart maintenance1.12Below the front line or remain weak.1The rebound momentum of the hourly chart is not significant and is affected by1.12The suppression at the checkpoint will not break through this level, and the upward space is limited. Available within the day1.1220Short selling near the front line.
Support position:1.1140/1.1100/1.1050
Resistance level:1.1215/1.1270/1.1300
pound/dollar
周三英镑延续本周以来的高位回撤走势，进一步扩大跌幅，其跌幅领先G10发达市场货币。由于英国脱欧谈判陷入停滞，从英国退出欧盟开始，政府和反对派之间的谈判没有取得任何结果。双方都表达了悲观情绪，等待着突破性进展。英国加入欧盟关税同盟仍然是这些跨党派谈判的症结所在。谈判难有进展，市场情绪持续恶化，英镑连续第三日下挫0.5%，最低触及一个多月以来的低位1.2986，最终守住1.30关口。在当前谈判阴影笼罩的前提下，预计英镑或仍有下跌空间。今日关注相关动态。
技术上，日图进一步于高位回撤至20日均线附近，若跌破该位置，料加速下滑。4The hourly chart oscillates and drops to1.30Near the checkpoint, pay attention to whether it will fall below this level within the day.1The hourly chart continues the high volatility downward trend. Although it has stabilized, the upward momentum is not strong. Within the day, it fell below1.30Frontline can follow up with short selling.
Support position:1.2970/1.2920/1.2865
Resistance level:1.3070/1.3100/1.3170
dollar/Japanese yen
周三全球股市的表现依然不乐观。亚洲时段，因国际贸易局势依然令投资者担忧，中国上证指数尾随周二欧美股市的跌势，再次下挫近1%Defeat2900关口。欧洲股市小幅收高。但是美国股市开盘后持续下跌，尾盘转为上涨。避险情绪浓厚进一步刺激日元的避险买盘，美元/日元持续扩大跌幅，最低触及109.89，刷新一个多月以来的低位，收盘守稳110大关，持续回吐长期涨幅。今日可关注全球股市以及中美贸易谈判对市场情绪的影响。
The daily chart further breaks below the high level and may still have room for decline.4The hourly chart has been rapidly declining recently, indicating strong downward momentum.1小时图均线系统空头向下排列良好。日内建议可于110.30Short selling in nearby light positions.
Support position:109.60/109.00/108.60
Resistance level:111.00/111.60/112.00
New Zealand dollars/dollar
周三亚市早盘，纽储行在决议上降息25Bps to1.5%，这是纽储行自2016year11月以来的首次降息，并创下该央行有史以来最低基准利率。纽元因此短线跳水80点，刷新半年低位0.6527。不过，受“卖预期和买事实”的影响，空头回补很快使纽元反弹近50点，削减了跌幅。政策声明显示，降息对支撑就业和CPI目标有必要，将截至2020year6月的一年期CPIExpected by2.0%Down to1.7%。纽储行预估显示，仍有再降息一次的可能。今日亚市早盘，纽元持续下行至0.6570。预计鸽派纽储行决议或持续打压纽元。
The downward trend of the daily chart, which has been fluctuating since its peak, remains intact.4小时图料将延续震荡下滑走势，随机指标暗示将有下跌动能。1小时图均线系统空头排列良好。日内可在0.6590Short the first tier light positions.
Support position:0.6535/0.6500/0.6450
Resistance level:0.6600/0.6680/0.6720