宏建论市：5.4黄金原油走势分析，下周一黄金原油操作建议分析

goldMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　日线来看，震荡下跌后反弹；KDJ重新结成金叉运行，MACD也结成金叉，金价此前的反弹在20Daily moving average1282附近受阻，若意外收复该位置，则需要提防“双头底”的可能性；上周高点阻力在1288Nearby;100日均线和下行趋势线阻力目前在1293Nearby. Pay attention to the tracks below the Bollinger Line1266附近支撑，若失守该位置，则进一步将打开新的下行空间，目前短线进一步下破的难度较大。
　　
　　4小时来看，单边上涨；金价在今日低点1268Getting some support nearby and starting to rebound,KDJGolden fork operation,MACDIt also forms a golden cross at a low level, with a reduction in the green energy column and a rebound in the short term,1300-1266Downtrend38.2%Resistance to retreat position1282附近，关注布林线上轨阻力在1287If the position cannot be regained nearby, the gold price will face a comeback decline in the future. Lower Bollinger Belt Middle Rail1276At present, it has been converted into short-term support. If it fails to maintain this position of support, it is expected to descend to1273Nearby,5/10日均线也在该位置。能否进一步下破还有待观察，目前这种可能性相对较低。综合来看，下周一操作思路上个人建议高沽低渣即可，上方重点关注1282-1284One line of resistance, pay attention below1272-1274Frontline support.  
　　
Suggestions for next week's gold trading:   
　　
　　1Bounce from above to1282-1284Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1276-1278；
　　
　　2Lower callback to1272-1274Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1280-1282；


crude oilMarket trend analysis:


　　日线来看，油价见顶后震荡下跌；MACDDead fork operation,KDJ死叉运行，短期均线死叉运行，尽管200Daily moving average60.93勉强给油价提供一下支撑，但后市油价存在进一步下破风险，3month21The daily high is supported by60.39Nearby, then60整数关口附近支撑，一旦失守该位置，则油价可能会进一步跌向3month28Daily low point58.20附近。在下破200日均线前，油价也存在低位震荡调整的可能性。上方4month26Daily low point62.28已结转化为初步阻力所在，5Daily moving average resistance62.77附近，在收复该位置前，后市偏向下行。进一步阻力在20Daily moving average63.95附近，若意外收复该位置，则削弱看空信号。


        4小时来看，震荡上涨；MACD有金叉迹象，绿色能量柱缩减，短线存在反弹，KDJ金叉运行，油价短线跌势减弱，留意61.19附近支撑，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。若油价能够坚守61.19附近支撑，则油价仍有可能会试探布林线中轨62.24Nearby resistance,64.75-60.95Downtrend38.2%Resistance to retreat position62.40Nearby;62.77附近也存在一些阻力，强阻力在61.8%Retreat position63.30附近，收复该位置前，后市油价仍偏向下行。综合来看，下周一操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方压力短期关注62.4-62.6One line of resistance, pay attention below61.0-61.2Frontline support.


　   下周原油操作建议


　　建议一：上方62.4-62.6Short nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target61.6-61.4Nearby, break through61.0继续持有


　　建议二：下方61.0-61.2Long nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target61.6-61.8Nearby, break through62.2nearby