Ruan Zhongren:4.16黄金阴跌不止 大行情将何去何从 你能把握住吗

[paragraph]最近的金价就像丈二的和尚，摸不着头脑，特别是这一波行情直接跌破1300整数关口，继续延续性走弱势盘整，1280底部支撑跌破的话，估计就凉凉了，守住的话，必然会有一波强势反弹。个人观点，欢迎大家和我一起探讨，一起学习。    Message surface:

Monday(4month15day)美市盘中，美元指数与现货gold仍保持跌势，交投低迷。消息面，纽约4月商业活动温和增长。整体商业环境指数升至10.1，说明经济增长有一定程度提高，但是总体上仍受抑。另外，据报道，欧盟各国部长周一授权启动谈判，以期取消工业品关税，落实美国总统特朗普和欧盟主席容克去年7月达成的政治协定。在市场交投相对平静之际，加拿大央行最新发布的春季商业前景调查意外引发市场波澜，在加拿大央行调查称，指标自强正面转向轻微负面之後，美元/加元短线暴拉逾80Points.
Gold trend analysis:
上周黄金价格冲高回落，周四金价大阴回撤回吐周初全部涨幅后周五1290一线低位调整，周线上周持稳录得长上影阴线，盘中多头破位未果，黄金的价格在突破1300后未能有效站稳1305阻力上方，而在价格失守千三后多头走弱空头开始走强，虽然目前下方依然1296-1281支撑，但短线来看黄金极有可能对这两个位置展开测试，一旦有效跌破现货黄金料会破位下行，不过目前而言黄金日线还是维持大区间结构震荡不变，这也是黄金自进入三月份来一直延续的走势表现，期间两次测试底部1281反弹，所以现货金要想打破结构下方1281的得失是关键，短期将重点关注此位置。
技术面日线上周五连续收阴，但是黄金价格持稳在1290上方，昨日内盘初延续回撤，短线跌破1290下方，日线布林带继续平行运行，K线跌破中轨线后慢慢往下轨线延伸，短周期均线MA5拐头向下拟与MA10交死叉，短线MA10于上方1295承压，日线KDJRun down,MACD指标绿色动能放量，日线走势上黄金短期偏空运行，下方短线关注1283-1281Support;4Hour lineKDJandMACD指标触底背离，但走势上空头明显，上周五在1290上方连续盘整后日内直接跌破后刷新低，不过4小时指标有修复需求，但短期看空思路不变。
综合来看，今日操作思路上阮中人个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1293-1295Frontline resistance, focus on below1281-1282Frontline support.

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Suggestions1293-1295Consider short selling and stop loss nearby4USD, target1284-1286Nearby;
2Suggestions1281-1283Consider going long and stopping losses nearby4USD, target1288-1290Near.
crude oilTrend analysis:
上周五美原油小幅走高，盘中最高触及64.6一带，后收报于63.7一带，日线上录得上影线的小阳形态，显示出油价仍有反弹需求，但是上方空间不大。日线上来看，油价运行在布林上轨一线，短期均线有高位向下拐头意向，KDJThe indicator turns downward from a high position,RSI指标高位横盘有向下拐头倾向，MACD红色能量柱势能减缓，日线上来看美油偏空运行。
昨日美原油开盘后小幅回落63.3一带后反弹，目前运行现在63.6一带，短线看反弹，上方暂且看到63.8One area.4小时线上，布林带开口小幅扩展，5/10均线指标低位死叉向下，RSI指标低位拐头向上，KDJ指标中位死叉向下，MACD绿色能量柱势能小幅放量，且快慢线高位死叉向下，短周期指标显示油价偏空运行，且上方出现双顶压制。
综合来看，今日操作思路上阮中人个人建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注防守位64.2-64.4Frontline resistance, focus on below63.3-63Frontline support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Suggestions63.6-63.8Consider short selling and stop loss nearby0.4USD, target62.9-63.0Nearby;
2Suggestions62.6-62.8Consider going long and stopping losses nearby0.4USD, target63.4-63.6Near.
Regarding the solution:
被套之后，我们任何操作都是被动的。我们应该适时地进行减仓或斩仓，现货投资属于保证金交易还会被强行平仓。无论结果如何，我们都会经历一段艰苦的心理历程。被套之后，才真真切切地体会到，进场是如何的重要。
After being covered, we can perform the following operations based on technical analysis.
1When trapped, according to chart analysis, if the purchased order is at a high level, immediate stop loss is required.
2、如果所买入的单子处在中位，可以依据当时的情况暂时观望，以求的解套离场或者逢高减仓降低损失。
3If the purchased order is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop losses. Instead, after the purchased order has stabilized and fallen, one should dare to replenish positions at important support levels, dilute costs, and rescue the positions trapped at high levels in the upcoming rebound market.
4、如果所买入的单子的处在上升趋势，则不必止损，耐心地持有一段时间，必然会解套，甚至還会有较大盈利的可能。
5、如果所买入的单子处在平衡震荡趋势中，也不必立即止损，耐心等待该单子进入震荡循环高位，一旦解套或者损失很小的时候，应该果断离场出局。
6If the purchased order is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, stop loss immediately and never have illusions about gains and losses. Any hesitation or hesitation can lead to a deep trap that is difficult to extricate oneself from.
*阮中人每天会在朋友圈和微博更新趋势分析和操作思路，需要考察实力的可以去看，需要看建议的自行去看就可以了，觉得我帮不了你或者你有疑问你就再继续考察。
(Attention: This article is planned by the analyst team of Ruan Zhongren, and does not provide any express or implied warranties regarding the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the content contained herein. It is for reference only. Real time guidance in the real-time operation strategy disk. Investment carries risks, operations need to be cautious!)
writing/Ruan Zhongren​​​​