Chen Yihan;4.13黄金中期机会周初来袭，下周黄金走势分析

　周末愉快，本周阴雨连连，连带着行情都不那么尽人意，周六天气回暖，我想也是一个好的预示，4月春暖花开，我们携手同行；
　　跟大家聊一个话题，交易市场中你要做聪明的交易者，还是成功的交易者？我想大家的主观愿望都想做既是聪明的交易者又是成功的交易者。但是从客观上来讲80％取决于人的性格。胆大心细，思维敏捷，洞察力强，心理承受能力大，敢闯敢拼那肯定是聪明交易者的料啊。像我优柔寡断，畏手畏脚打死我也成不了聪明交易者，只适合按部就班，稳扎稳打，一步一个脚印走好每一步，由小脚印变成大脚印，由一小步变成一大步我就很知足。尺有所长，寸有所短，量体做衣。适合自己的就是最好的。只要心中有梦想，只要每天在努力，无论是聪明交易者还是成功交易者都能到达理想的彼岸。加油！



internationalgoldNext week's trend analysis:
从盘面形态上看，强势不深调，深调不强势，日线在三连阳震荡走高后于1310上方出现明显压制，高位回落一度下探1290下方，日线大阴回撤，连续破低，打破短线上升结构，日内短线结构上或是连续弱势下行，或是进入震荡修正，但有一点现我们要知道的是黄金要重归多头形态的概率再次变小了。技术面上日线图看，昨日金价自1310附近回落下跌，金价一根大阴线下穿布林带中轨，同时日均线MA5AndMA50Forming a dead cross,MACD负动能柱有所放大，RSI拐头向下，短线指标出现回落现象。昨日大阴线吞没前三日阳线，今日为本周最后一个交易日，估计多头难以再度上攻，空头力量相对主导。
from4小时图看，金价连续三根阴线下跌后，金价在1290附近有所企稳，但MACDIndex drop0轴下方，同时金价受至MA5均线压制，目前金价多空争夺在1295一线，如金价有效站上1295方可上攻1300关口附近，如金价持续受到1295压力，金价则存在下破1290关口风险。如一旦跌破1290关口，下方关注1285and1280二个位置支撑。综合来看，下周一操作思路上陈一晗个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1296-1298One line of resistance, pay attention below1284-1286Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1#Bounce from above to1296-1298Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1288-1290frontline;
2#Lower callback to1284-1286Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1290-1292frontline;
3#、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以陈一晗指导实盘为准！



internationalcrude oilNext week's trend analysis:
原油，昨日承压64.5The first line fluctuated and fell back, and the decline widened in the evening, with a brief pullback below63.3Looking for support nearby, although there was a rebound afterwards, it was unable to flip over5日线，最终日线收得一阴线。对于油价的下跌，市场有传言是受知情人士表示，如果委内瑞拉和伊朗的供应进一步下降，油价继续上涨，石油输出国组织(OPEC)Perhaps from7Starting from this month, increase oil production. Recently, crude oil has continued to climb and rebound, mainly due to market demandOPECThe expected production reduction plan, and yesterday's rumor is undoubtedly a blow to the positive factors for crude oil. As expected before, once the news fades or even negative news appears, the bullish sentiment in the market may collapse, and bears may take the opportunity to retaliate.
From a technical perspective, the decline in crude oil prices yesterday was also a technical requirement. This technical demand has been accumulated for too long, and the daily structure has already deviated from the top, coinciding with the trend line65强压，也是诱发行情下跌的主因。目前来看，技术上的回修需求还有望延续，下方或将进一步回撤至10Daily line63.0The competition in the area resulted in a drop below10日线，扩大跌幅的可能性会更大。基本面方面，只要不出现利多消息刺激，那么技术上的调整作用就会得以施展。综合来看，下周一操作思路上陈一晗个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方压力短期关注64.4-64.6One line of resistance, pay attention below63.0-63.2Frontline support.
原油下周一操作建议：
1#Bounce from above to64.4-64.6Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target63.4-63.6frontline;
2#Lower callback to63.0-63.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target63.8-64.0frontline;





其实，解τ在于解人心，被τ的不仅仅是单子，而是你的心，你的一颗不甘愿接受亏损的心，内心极度的求生欲望，驱使我们一次又一次扛单，直至被深τ，解无可解；当然，也不排除有的老师故意为之，不懂行情的你只能任由其摆布，说起来到也十分可怜，愿你在之后的交易之中不在被τ，良禽尚且择木而栖，你呢？


　　一次相遇，一段缘分；一份信任，一次机会；一次选择，一次改变。一晗与你一起见证下一个奇迹时刻！


writing/Chen Yihan