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Trading, rather than being a technical difference, is actually the beginning of human nature. We no longer worry about profit changes caused by fluctuations, not because we don't care about winning or losing money, but because we understand how to face gains and losses more calmly. We learn to learn about gains and losses, just like love. If we can't afford to break up, we shouldn't talk about the future. One separation is already decadent. Trendy market trends create opportunities ahead of time, and we follow opportunities later, losing opportunities unconsciously.
上周五非农数据利空,但是行情只是小幅下探之后就展开反弹,日内早间呈现震荡上行的走势,目前虽然金价突破1295阻力,但是近期的行情来说延续性不是很强,操作上我们需要谨慎对待。
美国3月就业报告数据显示,美国3月新增非农就业人口高达19.6万人,且美国劳工部将2月数据上修至3.3万人;失业率维持在3.8%的低位,这暗示在经历了2月的意外以后,美国就业市场强势回暖。不过表面强劲的数据却仍存隐患。薪资年率意外自3.4%Fallback to3.2%,且就业参与率下降0.2个百分点。这恐怕仍将拖累美国的消费水平,令通胀迟迟无法达到美联储的目标。通胀的疲软将继续阻止美联储加息,或不利于美元在未来走强。 goldMarket trend analysis:
从黄金日线来看:震荡下跌;尽管金价周四交易日在1280附近获得支撑,留下了较长的下影线,暗示该位置支撑较强,但MACDandKDJ依然死叉运行,而且探底回升后在本周高点1295附近受阻,金价后市下行风险仍存;继续关注3month7Daily low point1280附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则可能会打开新的下行空间;38.2%Retraction position support1275.Nearby,50%Retraction position support1253附近。上方留意3month9Daily high point1300关口附近阻力,若意外收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;进一步较强的阻力在19.1%Retreat position1311Near.
From gold4小时来看:区间震荡;MACDGolden fork,KDJGolden fork, butKDJ开始拐头,布林线继续收口,短线走势变数较大,继续关注布林线轨道1284-1294区域突破情况。上方进一步较强的阻力在1324-1280Downtrend50%Retreat position1302附近,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号。下方进一步支撑在隔夜低点1280附近,若下破该支撑,则增加看空信号。今日操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注1296-1298One line of resistance, pay attention below1283-1285Frontline support. Real time market changes,
gold4.8Operation suggestions:
1#Bounce from above to1296-1298Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1292-1288frontline;
2#Lower callback to1285-1288Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1292-1295frontline;