Zhiliang Finance:4.4EIAInventory pressure on crude oil, how to layout in the later stage

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　　===crude oilmarket analysis===
　　
Oil prices slightly fell on Wednesday, after the US government.府数据显示原油库存意外增加，但原油futures价格仍守在近五个月高位附近，因石油输出国组织(OPEC)The leading reduction in production and sanctions against Iran have tightened supply prospects; US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Reported that US crude oil inventories increased last week720Ten thousand barrels, due to the increase in net imports, production has slightly increased to a record high, and the utilization rate of refinery capacity has slowed down. In the United States.National politics.Government exemption from Iraq.Three out of the eight countries that import oil from Iran have reduced their purchases to zero. Improving oil market conditions will help further reduce Iran's crude oil exports, indicating further tightening of supply in the oil market. However, as the benefits of supply tightening gradually materialize in the first quarter, as well as the release of hedging and pipeline capacity, the upward resistance to oil prices will increase in the later part of the second quarter.

　　

　　===Technical analysis of crude oil===
　　
From a technical perspective of crude oil, above62.7-63.2It's a strong pressure range, and the highest market is at its peak63Nearby, the market has been declining since then. Yesterday63The empty orders in the nearby layout have gained a lot, and the strategy articles can be found. Overall, they have withdrawn. If they break through today62.25Even the support from below has a significant impact on the subsequent trend, so we need to pay special attention to the market trend. In the short term,1The rebound before the hour level, followed by another rebound, is an unusual signal that although there is support below, short-term bears are stronger, but the bottom position is also4The hourly moving average support point, so in order to continue breaking down, further rapid breaking is needed. We are waiting for the downward momentum to emerge.
　　
　　===Personal views on crude oil===
　　
Overall, it is recommended to treat crude oil with an overestimation and low residue approach in today's operations! Suggest focusing on the pressure above today62.7-63.2First line, pay attention to the support below62.25-61.75On the first line, the intraday market is constantly changing, and the specific entry and exit points are mainly based on actual prices.
　　Zhuzhi Liang Finance(VX:XUZL88188)