【品汇国际】GDP强劲美元喜笑颜开，空军再度强势来袭

Pinhui International Fundamentals Analysis:
纽约盘中，在昨天的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈冲高回落的走势。美元指数最高上涨到86.49,最低下跌到85.95, closing at86.15. Euro/美元最高上涨到1.2642,最低下跌到1.2547, closing at1.2610。
因美国劳动力市场持续改善，美联储(FED)本次利率决策会议结束了资产购买，美元走高，gold的需求受到抑制。美联储官员结束月度购债计划，国际金融市场近期的动荡消散，市场关注就业增长。加息的预期削弱了黄金的吸引力，因为投资者持有黄金不能获得利息收入，只能博取价差，而强劲的美元降低了黄金的保值需求
美国商务部周四(10month30day)公布的数据显示，美国三季度实际GDPInitial annualized quarterly growth rate3.5%，好于预期的增长3.0%Previous value growth4.6%。美国第二和第三季度经济也创自2003年以来最佳表现。
美联储乐观的看法和强劲的GDP数据再度打压贵金属，昨日黄金跌破千二关口，白银跌破3300低点支撑，贵金属再度刷新低点。
Pinhui International Technical Analysis:
从技术上来看,美元前天大幅反弹，昨天冲高回落，意味着在前高上方的阻力仍然很强，还会限制美元的反弹幅度。但美元这一波回落整理基本上已经结束，美元指数的5、10、20日均线呈多头排列走势，为汇价提供较强的支持。后市美元经过震荡整理之后继续走强的可能仍然较大。今天美元指数短线上涨的阻力在86.40—86.45Short term important resistance86.70—86.75。美元指数今天回调的支持在85.90—85.95Important support in85.65—85.70. Euro/美元昨天跌破1.2600—1.2610的短期支持，最低下跌到1.2547，反弹走势基本上结束，后市只要不能够重新站稳在1.2700以上，还将会继续考验1.2500的支持力度，若被跌破的话，欧美的下跌目标将会指向1.2200左右。若不失1.2500的重要支持，汇价还会在1.2500—1.2900这个大区间震荡的。
美元今天短线以做多操作为主，破位止损，有盈利30个点以上就设好止赢，在美国开市前撤出所有没有成交的挂单。本策略适合保证金，实盘可作参。
美元指数：可以在86.50----85.90Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
euro/USD: can be used in1.2660--1.2550Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
pound/USD: can be used in1.6050----1.5950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
dollar/Ruilang: You can find0.9600----0.9530Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
dollar/Japanese yen: can be used in109.60----108.80Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.8860----0.8770Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
dollar/CAD: Can be used in1.1230----1.1160Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
黄金：可以在1212.00—1192.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit8USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在16.65—16.05Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.30USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.

NFX  Markets品汇国际首席分析师张云翰建议（以上建议仅供参考）
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