Wise Eye and Xin Recognition:3.7黄金原油窄幅震荡，今日行情分析操作建议附解套

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投资最重要的是稳健，然后再去把握好利润，短线做波动，中线做波段，长线做趋势，方法没有好坏之分，关键是要找到适合自己的好方法，古人云：不以善小而不为，不以恶小而为之。一切的问题的答案从来没有唯.一和不变，行情是向上涨还是往下跌，你自己也无法左右，只有紧随市场的脉搏才不致于被淘汰出局，行情不可能永远向上走也不可能永远往下走，可以确定的就是它会一直往右走。风险是一种客观存在的、不可避免的，并在一定条件下还带有某些规律性，所以在操作中我们更要注重风险的控制。

goldMarket trend analysis:

U.S.A2monthADPRecord an increase in employment18.3万人，预期为增加18.9万人，前值大幅上修为增加30万人。数据公布后，现货黄金短线变动不大；美元指数变动不大。分析认为，1月份的大幅修正足以弥补2月份就业人数的部分下滑，美国就业市场依然火爆。因中.beautiful.trade.易进展叠加英国无协议脱欧风险下降，市场风险偏好明显回升，带动股市上涨，进一步施压黄金。短时间市场将关注本周多国央行公布利率决议以及周五的非农数据，市场将进一步寻找美国经济走向和各国央行货币政策的线索。

技术面来看，黄金破位之后连续性的下探渐渐企稳，好在1280美元关口暂且企稳，但整体依旧处于空头弱势。日线上看，经过四个交易日的大跌之后收取低位十字星（蓄势或者反转），技术面依旧呈现超卖状态，至于后市是蓄势还是反转暂没有明确方向，可以肯定的是顺势看空，但不要过度去追空，往往在这种行情之下就是考验人耐心的时刻，宁愿耐心等待不可盲目杀进。黄金连续两个交易的弱势整理，上下1280/1290美元关口支阻很关键，若是继续下破出现新低那就会加剧跌势，相反若是站稳该阻力之上，起码从整个修复的过程来看跌势将缓，或许在非农之前测试千三亦是有可能，关键在于其反弹的力度。

short-term4In the midst of continuous yin decline during the hour. With the correction of a single small positive line, the double negative turn downward breaks the low. Weak market, corrected with consolidation instead, did not see a rebound. The short term is still in a weak downward trend, driving the indicator downward. Once the moving average system turns all corners, the short line chart will go out in a single wave. The rebound space of the hour chart is relatively small. Low level sorting and digestion diagramMACD得底部背离，初步阻力在1290整数关口附近，也是3month1日低点所在，5Daily moving average resistance1293.45附近，在收复该位置前，后市偏向下行；进一步阻力在1month28Daily low point1297.50Nearby, then2month14Daily low point1302.35附近阻力，若能收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上慧眼识鑫wdy6638个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1294-1296One line of resistance, pay attention below1280-1282Frontline support.

Operation suggestions:

1Rebound1292-1294Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1285-1286frontline;

2Callback1280-1282Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1287-1288frontline;

crude oilMarket trend analysis:

昨晚（3month6日）美国能源信息署(EIA)According to the published data, as of3month1日当周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存增加706.910000 barrels to4.529Billion barrels, increase1.6%，库存变化值创1month25Day and Week（6周）以来新高。俄克拉荷马州库欣地区原油库存增加87.3万桶，变化值连续3周录得增长。上周汽油库存减少422.7万桶，汽油库存变化值连续3The weekly record fell and hit2018year10month26Day and Week（19周）以来新低；精炼油库存减少239.3万桶，精炼油库存变化值连续3The weekly record fell and hit2018year12month21Day and Week（11周）以来新低。美国中西部原油库存上周升至2017year12月来最高水平。

原油日线图中看，原油整体沿着布林带中轨缓慢上移，MACD双线于多头区域下方交织走低，空头动能柱连续放量且与k线无背离，KDJ三线平行向下方延伸，标志着原油将逐步走入空头。日线图上整体处于大级别的宽幅震荡，本周重点关注日线布林带中轨的支撑55.0位置的得失情况，此位置不彻底失守，短期行情预计继续走宽幅震荡，一旦此位置失守，那么后市预计将面临更大的回调。油价大跌后最终于低位震荡调整，短线趋势偏弱。4小时上，目前形成双死叉向下的形态，K线也是摆脱布林带中轨和一众均线跌至布林带中轨下方，布林带下轨向下开口，附图指标移动平均快慢线在O轴下方再度形成死叉，表明了油价下跌意图明显，加上小时线上也是双死叉向下的形态。小时图上看，K线反弹受阻56.20回调，短期均线走缓，中长期均线运行向下，布林带逐步张口，附图macd快慢线走缓，绿色量能缩量，摆动指标KDJ三线发散向上；短期均线MA5UnderpassMA10、MA40，上方均线粘合呈压力位，布林带张口，中轨偏下，附图macd快慢线死叉向下，绿色放量，KDJ三线发散向下。综合来看：今日操作上慧眼识鑫wdy6638建议反弹做空即可，上方关注56.8-57One line of resistance, pay attention below55.2-55.5Frontline support.

Operation suggestions:

1Rebound56.8-57.0Short selling on the front line,Stop loss0.4USD, target55.6-55.8frontline

2Callback55.2-55.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target56.4-56.6frontline

The investment road is not smooth. My words are not flashy, but they are very sincere. You can see the palace.heavy.Hao 'Teacher Wise Eyes'  The article is about fate. Wise eyes believe in fate. Fate allows us to meet and know each other, and every fate should be cherished. Different people and carriers lead to different outcomes! Choice is more important than effort! Choice is greater than effort, today's choice may be tomorrow's turning point! At the right time, with the right people, and doing the right thing, this is the secret to successful investment. Cooperation is only the starting point, and service has no end!

Guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　指导老师：慧眼识鑫  （ finger/guide/tiny/letter : wdy6638）