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恩圣威:非农携美联储三巨头来袭 黄金攻破千三大关的契机到了?

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1、
U.S.A12monthADPRecord an increase in employment27.1Ten thousand people, increasing to2017year2The highest level since the beginning of the month
Expected to increase17.8万人,前值下修为增加15.710000 people.

2, USA12monthISMmanufacturingPMIIndex recorded54.1,为两年低位,前值为58.4, creating10年来最大跌幅,加重了市场对全球经济增长放缓的担忧情绪。
3、美国亚特兰大联储GDPNowcast模型将美国2018年第四季度GDP增速预期下调至2.6%,此前为2.7%。
4、金价自去年11月低点以来上涨了8%Since last year8The price has risen since the beginning of the month11.5%,周四突破去年4-8Monthly decline trend61.8%回撤位。有分析称,gold的相对强势地位已大幅提升,阻碍金价上涨的四大因素正在消退
5、API报告显示,美国至12month28Day and WeekAPIcrude oilReduced inventory recorded450Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease233.3万桶;库欣库存、汽油库存、精炼油库存大增,油价因此回吐部分涨幅。
6, USA2Term3年期及5年期国债收益率均跌至2.4%下方,为2008年以来首次与联邦基金实际利率齐平。在未来24个月的某个时点,美联储不仅会被迫停止加息,还要开始积极放松货币政策。
7、受苹果下调预期和制造业数据疲软的拖累,美股大幅收跌。道指重挫逾660点;纳斯达克指数跌破6500点,跌幅超3%;标普收跌2.48%;恐慌指数VIX日内涨12.6%to26.16。
8、港股恒指连续两个交易日下挫,盘中一度失守25000点关口。香港恒生指数开盘下跌0.21%,午间失守25000点关口,刷新去年10月末以来新低,收报25064.36Point, drop0.26%。
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