【01/02】汇评：美国白宫关门有望结束，欧洲火药桶危机暂平息欧元反弹！

周一回顾


      白宫关门的僵局毫无进展以及中美贸易争端取得较好进展，令美元走势较为疲软，一度跌破96Integer level.gold再次发力震荡上行，触及6month19New high in recent days1284.07关口，刷新近两年来的单月最大涨幅。据外媒报道，在政府部分关门11天后，特朗普邀请国会两党领袖前往白宫举行会谈。若事件能进一步得到缓和，有望缓解市场的担忧情绪。
      Regarding the Euro:意大利议会批准了2019年预算法，意大利紧张局势有所缓解，周一欧元/美元小幅反弹。亚欧盘时段数据清淡，欧元/美元小幅下挫跌至日内新低1.1421，随后开始反弹上涨。美盘时段，美国12Monthly Dallas Fed Business Activity Index Record-5.1，大幅差于预期值16，美元短线下挫，欧元/美元反弹上涨。

Today's analysis

(Europe and AmericaM30chart)

Regarding the Euro:


      亚市早盘开盘，欧元/美元持续下跌，目前在1.1450附近震荡。技术上，今日可逢低做多，下方支撑位1.1425，若跌破下方支撑位1.1415时，可待回调至区间内逢高放空。今日欧盘时段需关注德国、法国以及欧元区的12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值，目前市场预期值和前值一致，若公布值好于预期值，则利好欧元。美盘时段需关注美国12monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值，目前预期值53.9和前值一致，若公布值好于预期值，则有望给美元提供支撑打压欧元。

In terms of gold:


      亚市早盘开盘，现货黄金小幅下挫，目前在1279.68附近震荡。黄金在1284附近受阻，短线上涨动能不足，同时市场对本周非农预期较乐观，有望给美元支撑，对黄金不利；但美国政府关门，以及市场对贸易局势担忧有所缓解，都有望给黄金提供支撑。技术上，今日可保持区间整理，若有一方突破，方可确立日内主要方向。目前上方压力位1284, lower support position1276。今日需关注国际贸易局势相关消息，和美国政府停摆相关消息。

Today's focus on data:


France12Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
Germany12Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
eurozone12Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
U.S.A12monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value

Disclaimers:


This analysis and trading strategy objectively describe the current market trend. Investors need to strictly follow the principles of following the trend, reducing positions, and stopping losses! We cannot solely rely on trading strategies as the basis for placing orders, this is for reference only!   
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