Wise Eye and Xin Recognition:12.29-30黄金原油周评，下周行情展望及操作布局附解套

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Looking back on a week's operations, there will definitely be some people happy and some people worried. Friends who have lost money should reflect on the reasons for their failure in the market instead of beating their chests and feet. Only by constantly identifying their own shortcomings can they continue to improve. No one is born on the peak, and everyone has experienced countless setbacks to succeed. The same principle applies to becoming a successful investor. Reflecting on shortcomings, humbly learning, and constantly improving. In the investment market, it's not about who wins or loses, but about who can go further in the long run. Only by immersing oneself in it can we see through the essence of this investment market. If we don't seek to buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point, then investing is an easy and natural thing. Investment, like playing chess, is a wise choice to sacrifice some local gains and losses and seek the subjective and advantageous overall situation. When the point is already very low and only sees risks but not opportunities, or when the point is already very high and does not know how to control risks and blindly pursue profits, it can only gain small profits but lose the overall picture, and gain local benefits but lose the overall picture.

goldMarket trend analysis:

黄金周五继续反弹，美市盘中最高触及1282.02美元，已击穿1280大关，持稳在6个月的高位，但金价短线走势极为震荡。受地缘政治风险加剧和美元走软的影响，本周黄金价格呈现出乎意料的积极走势。股市的剧烈波动、对全球增长的担忧、英国退欧的不确定性以及美国政府的政治不稳定，都加速了投资者转向避险资产，这最终将金价推升至逾6个月来的最高水平，由于股市连续两天上涨，金融市场的一些避险情绪有所缓和。昨日美国总统特.Lang.普再次掀起“推特风暴”，称如国会不同意有关修建美墨边境墙的资金要求，将完全关闭南部边境。与此同时，最新出炉的美国11月成屋签约销售指数月率再次下滑，为美国楼市疲软的新迹象。美市盘中，美元指数延续此前低迷表现，现货黄金则收于1280dollar/盎司关口略下方，美股仍波动剧烈，在平线附近拉锯。

技术面来看，美元指数继续震荡回落为黄金提供支撑，现货黄金在升破了上升通道上轨的压制之后持续上涨，目前正在冲击1282美元附近的压制，这进一步巩固了黄金的看涨情绪。MA均线以及云图的涨势均较为完整，这也暗示黄金有望延续涨势。近期，美指波动加剧，加上市场对全球经济放缓担忧加剧，资金涌入黄金这类传统避险资产。

from4小时级别来看，金价虽然一度出现大阴线调整，但依旧守住支撑，回踩MA20后继续稳定攀升，隔夜重回高点附近，而在今日也是一直保持高位震荡，表明多头比较强势，现阶段均线组再次呈现多头排列，MACD指标再拉金叉，走势上也在延续，在月线收官之际，金价或能更进一步。1小时图来看，在周五亚盘阶段，金价维持横盘，但价格已经非常接近前高，果然在下午时段再次发力，目前已经突破前高并且来到了1280的上方，多头延续已经悬念不大，再加上现阶段均线走势完好，MACDindex0轴上方扭转成金叉，唯一需要注意的是后市可能出现的背离。综合来看，下周一操作思路上慧眼识鑫wdy6638个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1284-1285One line of resistance, pay attention below1272-1274Frontline support.

Operation strategy:

1Suggestions below1273-1275Long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1282-1284；

2Suggestions above1283-1285Short selling, stop loss3US dollars, look at the target1278-1276。

crude oilMarket trend analysis:

周五原油震荡反弹，最终收于45.0Above the US dollar, from10月初油价触顶以来，油价的跌幅已经超过了40%，目前还没有见底的迹象。不过，据外媒报道，投行认为2019年油价将会有所反弹，预计上半年将会反弹至70dollar/桶。本周沙特突然宣布开始限制对美国原油的出口，明年4月份还将再次延长减产协议。即便如此，以国际能源署署长比罗尔本周公开表示，他预计油价短期内不会大幅上涨，除非出现地缘政治问题。但这还不是最坏的局面，明年真正的炸.弹是极力控制供给端的沙特，面对需求端疲软的下坡路正在束手无策。而导致需求端如此疲弱，最大的功臣还是拥护民族主义的特.Lang.普。在他的领导下美国的对外贸易政策正在发生巨变，由此世界经济发展出现了停滞，最终引发了原油需求的疲弱，甚至在明年恐将出现倒退。

技术面来看，原油市场的悲观情绪依旧没有达到实质性的改善。整体来看，油价的跌势稍稍放缓。KDas well asRSI指标正加速反弹，不过，云图下行云的走势极度疲软，且MA均线下跌趋势完整，这表明，油价走势依旧偏向下跌。因此，我们想要抄底还需耐心等待市场给出给多反转信号。4小时上，油价短线有望继续反弹，KDas well asRSI指标震荡反弹，且云图下行云跌势已经暂停，并有收口的迹象，这或暗示油价短线的下跌势头结束，不过，油价能否引来有效的反弹还需首先升破60周期均线在47.60美元附近的阻力，短线上慧眼识鑫wdy6638个人依旧看好空头。

Operation strategy:

1Suggestions above46.6-46.8Short selling, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target45.2-45.0；

2Suggestions below44.3-44.5Long, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target46.2-46.4

The investment path is not smooth, and my words are not magnificent, There are no fancy profit screenshots here, no promises of how much profit you will receive, only concrete analysis. If you have been losing money, if you are still confused, if you are constantly looking for teachers in the market, you can try to communicate with Huiyan Shixin first. You can see Gong.heavy.Hao 'Teacher Wise Eyes'  The article is about fate. Wise eyes believe in fate. Fate allows us to meet and know each other, and every fate should be cherished. Different people and carriers lead to different outcomes! Choice is more important than effort! Choice is greater than effort, today's choice may be tomorrow's turning point! At the right time, with the right people, and doing the right thing, this is the secret to successful investment. Cooperation is only the starting point, and service has no end!

Guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
Wen//Insight and recognition of Xin  (referring to)/guide/tiny/Letter:wdy6638）