【12/18】汇评：特朗普再喷美联储获”盟友”站队，美元高位回落黄金趁势扶摇直上！

Yesterday's review


      在美联储召开议息会议前，美联储本周加息遭市场集体反对，全球股市普遍下跌，美元从18个月高位回落，gold多头迎来大爆发，重返1240关口之后直指1250关口。晚间美国总统特朗普加速“嘴炮模式”，在推特上表示，在强势美元及实际上没有通胀的情况下，世界正乱作一团，而巴黎正在“燃烧”，令人难以置信的是美联储竟然在考虑加息。随后白宫贸易顾问纳瓦罗也响应了特朗普对美联储的批评，表示美联储不应在周三加息。同时新债王”冈拉克以及多数投资者也都称，美联储应该停止加息。
      Regarding the Euro:亚盘时段，欧元/美元小幅上扬。欧盘时段，欧元区11monthCPIAnnual rate recorded1.9%，差于预期值2%Eurozone11monthCPIMonthly rate recorded-0.2%，符合市场预期，当前欧元/The US dollar is rising in the short term. During the US trading session, the United States12Recorded by the New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the month10.9，大幅差于预期值20.6，当前美元短线下跌，欧元/美元短线上涨。美国12monthNAHBReal estate market index recorded56，差于预期值60, for2015year5月以来新低，当前美元反应平淡，欧元/美元短线下跌。据意大利政府官员称，意大利总理孔特、副总理萨尔维尼和副总理迪马约就预算问题达成一致，将向欧盟提交新的预算框架，赤字率在2.04%。意大利预算方面的乐观进展为欧元提供支撑，欧元/美元震荡上行。

Today's analysis

(Europe and AmericaM30chart)

Regarding the Euro:


      亚市早盘开盘，欧元/美元小幅震荡，目前在1.1352附近波动。技术上，今日可逢低做多，下方支撑位1.1327，若跌破支撑位1.1327，可待回调至区间内逢高放空。今日欧元区需关注德国12monthIFO商业景气指数，目前市场预期101.7差于前值102，若公布值较差，则打压欧元。美国需关注美国11Annualized total monthly construction of new homes and the United States11月营建许可总数，若公布值好于预期值，则利好美元打压欧元。

In terms of gold:


      亚市早盘开盘，现货黄金小幅上扬，目前在1246.67附近震荡。市场集体反对美联储本周加息，目前来看，本周鸽派加息的可能性较高，这一定程度上将提振黄金走强，黄金再次回至1240-1250的震荡区间，另外，技术面短线看多信号也较强。技术上，今日可观望可逢低做多谨慎操作，目前上方压力位1250.94, lower support position1235.69。今日需继续关注市场对本周美联储利率决议预期变化，以及国际贸易局势相关消息。

Today's focus on data:


Germany12monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index
U.S.A11Annualized total monthly construction of new houses(10000 households)
U.S.A11Total monthly construction permits(10000 households)

Disclaimers:


This analysis and trading strategy objectively describe the current market trend. Investors need to strictly follow the principles of following the trend, reducing positions, and stopping losses! We cannot solely rely on trading strategies as the basis for placing orders, this is for reference only!
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