Du Shuqi:12.18鸽派美联储助力，黄金借力反弹！

Du Shuqi:12.18鸽派美联储助力，gold借力反弹！
　　
Ten years of ups and downs, the original intention remains unchanged. You say winning or losing is your destiny, and our path of profit and loss is all strategic—— I am Du Shuqi!
　　
Preface: Cats like to eat fish, but they cannot swim. Fish like to eat earthworms, but fish cannot land. God has given you many temptations, but they do not let you easily get them. However, you cannot cry out for pain when bleeding, turn on the light when afraid of the dark, and cry when shaking. No matter how big the market is today, tomorrow will be a small matter. No matter how big it is this year, next year will be a story. At most, we are the people who have experienced the story. Investment has no ifs, only consequences and results!!!Analyst Du Shuqi will escort your investment.

　　

Message surface
　　
　　美国经济料在明年年中前放缓，这可能令美联储更加偏向鸽派。西太平洋银行全球市场战略负责人RobertRennie表示，由于美联储明年的决定将依赖于数据，预计加息的确切数字将变得更加难以预测。他预计2019年美联储只会再加息两次。Rennie指出，美联储目前的中性利率目标在2.75-3.25%左右，在这一区间美联储必须暂停加息。在审视美联储的行动时，需要考虑的最后一件事是，当涉及到美国经济时，美联储与市场之间的看法存在越来越大的分歧。
　　
　　Weston表示：“我们已经到了能看到美联储政策出错的地步。市场认为美联储应该很快结束紧缩政策。但与此同时，由于美国明年的失业率预计将达到3.5%，而且核心通胀率将继续保持强劲，美联储可能希望继续采取行动。”
　　
　　Weston指出，如果美联储搞错了，市场意识到政策上的错误，美元将受到重创，波动性将大幅上升，并强调2019年对投资者来说最安全的投资将是黄金。
　　
[Technical aspect]
　　
　　【黄金】周一低位回升收复失地。早盘1238中性开盘，下探1235.50启稳，守住上周五的回测低点上方，欧盘反弹。美盘强势发力，整体符合昨日日评和晚评预期，多头重新上扬去探高蓄势破高。最高触及1247.80高位。日图收盘大阳线。

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　　周线和日线都处于上升通道中，只是短线节奏比较慢，一步一回头的蓄势，加上美指短期阴晴不定。黄金表现迂回整理上升，日线收阳，配合上周五的下探影线，短线有进一步攻高之势，至少日线已经具备冲高破高量能。
　　
Short line chart:4小时从布林道下轨反弹至上轨，回调时间长，收复时间短，说明短线还是多头偏强势一些，重新站稳1240，今日将围绕1240支撑低多看突破1250高点，上周看高的目标1255-1265可能本周才能到达。时间上拉锯较长。昨日日评计划1232附近多未给机会，晚盘1238附近有多同样踏对节奏。今日操作1241-1242附近进多上看。
　　
Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
　　（1）1241-1242做多；止损1237; Goal1250-1255！
　　
　　（2）黄金400美金，波动0.1Profit and loss10美金，条件20/Hand!
　　
Conclusion: While aiming for distant goals, do not underestimate things near you. The slowest person, as long as they do not lose their goal, can walk faster than those who wander aimlessly. Even if the road is rough, the wheels must move forward. Even if the river is rough, ships can sail. Although bamboo shoots are tender, they are not afraid of heavy pressure, dare to struggle, and dare to rise to the top. The author has the honor to be awarded the most trustworthy gold analyst, This is encouragement, this is even more motivation!Honor is an instant enjoyment, but struggle is a long journey!