杜舒奇：12.17周一黄金原油行情走势分析及策略布局

Du Shuqi:12.17Mondaygoldcrude oil行情走势分析及策略布局
　　
Ten years of ups and downs, the original intention remains unchanged. You say winning or losing is your destiny, and our path of profit and loss is all strategic—— I am Du Shuqi!
　　
Preface: Cats like to eat fish, but they cannot swim. Fish like to eat earthworms, but fish cannot land. God has given you many temptations, but they do not let you easily get them. However, you cannot cry out for pain when bleeding, turn on the light when afraid of the dark, and cry when shaking. No matter how big the market is today, tomorrow will be a small matter. No matter how big it is this year, next year will be a story. At most, we are the people who have experienced the story. Investment has no ifs, only consequences and results!!!Analyst Du Shuqi will escort your investment.

　　​

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
　　
　　本周市场将迎来美联储利率决议，虽然加息概率较大，但投资者仍关注其释放的2019年加息信号。届时将做出今年最后一个货币政策决定，并将为2019年初定下基调。而市场普遍预期美联储本次会议将升息，且可能已经提前消化这一预期。据联储观察工具显示，市场已基本消化了下周升息的预期;然而，市场参与者将急于看到美联储明年将升息多少次。过去几个月，进一步收紧货币政策的预期大幅下降。市场现在只看到了2次升息的可能性，低于10Monthly4次升息。黄金有望打破宽幅震荡格局。
　　
　　黄金技术面上来看，黄金周线上显示，上一周黄金周线小幅收跌，不过黄金总体上依然是中性偏多的，即使新一周中未能进一步上破，但是也能维持在支撑带上方做横盘整理。当前黄金总体上仍处于上升通道内，且上方最直接的压力是1252.50美元，任何时候明确站上这一点位黄金将有进一步走强可能。短线上看，黄金日线上震荡走弱，上周五下跌后测试日线布林带中轨支撑后回升，金价反弹1240遇阻，短线还有回落测试1230关键支撑位置的迹象，这里是前面黄金连续承压的阻力位，破位后转化为关键支撑，同时也是日线布林带中轨支撑位置；而上方需继续关注1240一线的压力；周初黄金预计将在1230-40区间内调整。涛姐操作上继续在区间内高沽低渣即可。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Below Gold1230-33支撑不破进多，目标分别看1236/1242Stop loss4dollar.
　　
　　2Above gold1240-42阻力可短空，目标分别看1236/1232Stop loss4dollar.
　　
Analysis of crude oil market trend:
　　
　　上周油价总体维持在低位震荡，因美国、沙特和俄罗斯的原油产量均创出新高，令市场担忧OPEC减产的努力或难以消除市场供应过剩。同时全球经济有所放缓，令市场担忧或导致原油需求下降，加剧供过于求的局势，进而施压油价。不过上周公布的三大原油月报，对于市场的需求预期有所改观，其中国际能源署（IEA）甚至认为如果OPEC遵守减产协议，那么2019年预计将会出现供不应求的状况，或推升油价。因此短时间市场多空因素交杂，油价走势偏震荡，市场将关注伊朗的原油产量是否会进一步下滑以及OPEC减产协议的执行情况。
　　
　　技术面来看，日线图上，原油上周五下探回升收高，诱空的尝试比较大，但短时间美原油于低位震荡，上方最直接的压力区间是53USD to54.6The pressure band of the US dollar, only by clearly standing above this range, will change the current bearish position of the central line and further explore it58.87美元的压力，否则美原油将做横盘整理筑底，不排除二次探底的可能。短线来看，4From the lower bound of Bollinger Bands to the upper bound in the hour, according to the volatile market, there should be some pressure on the upper bound. Currently4The hourly convergence triangle interval is organized, and the pressure at the upper track is52.8Nearby, please follow below50支撑，在不突破区间之前还是看震荡本周极有可能会完成上破，试探日线压力位。
　　
Conclusion: While aiming for distant goals, do not underestimate things near you. The slowest person, as long as they do not lose their goal, can walk faster than those who wander aimlessly. Even if the road is rough, the wheels must move forward. Even if the river is rough, ships can sail. Although bamboo shoots are tender, they are not afraid of heavy pressure, dare to struggle, and dare to rise to the top. The author has the honor to be awarded the most trustworthy gold analyst, This is encouragement, this is even more motivation!Honor is an instant enjoyment, but struggle is a long journey!