Du Shuqi:12.12黄金承压维持震荡，日内操作还是看区间

Du Shuqi:12.12gold承压维持震荡，日内操作还是看区间
　　
Ten years of ups and downs, the original intention remains unchanged. You say winning or losing is your destiny, and our path of profit and loss is all strategic—— I am Du Shuqi!
　　
Preface: Cats like to eat fish, but they cannot swim. Fish like to eat earthworms, but fish cannot land. God has given you many temptations, but they do not let you easily get them. However, you cannot cry out for pain when bleeding, turn on the light when afraid of the dark, and cry when shaking. No matter how big the market is today, tomorrow will be a small matter. No matter how big it is this year, next year will be a story. At most, we are the people who have experienced the story. Investment has no ifs, only consequences and results!!!Analyst Du Shuqi will escort your investment.

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　　欧洲政治僵局推动美元走强，打压美元计价的商品价格，同时有消息称美国朝野有望重启谈判避免政府在此后停摆，推动美元创出一个月新高，这使得黄金一度跌至1241.10美元。日内关注意大利预算、脱欧谈判进展以及关注美国的CPI数据，同时美国两党今日将就边境墙问题进行磋商这对美国政府是否会面临停摆起到关键作用。
　　
　　短时间而言上方200日均线是黄金能否进一步开启涨势的关键压力位。英国脱欧受阻英镑续刷新低，美元维持升势施压金价
　　
　　近期需密切关注脱欧局势动向，因德国在英国脱欧问题上的态度越发强硬，德国保守派欧盟发言人直言，欧盟已经越过了为北爱尔兰提供紧急解决方案的红线，北爱尔兰的紧急解决方案允许英国挑三拣四，这或暗示欧盟方面已经对脱欧过于拖沓的谈判已经开始没有耐心，这或进一步阻碍脱欧的进程。
　　
　　而与此同时美国开始向英国抛出橄榄枝。美国国务卿蓬佩奥承诺，如果英国打算与欧盟彻底决裂，美国也将与英国建立牢固的关系。随着有消息称启动对首相梅不信任投票所需的48封信件已经就位，英国无协议脱欧的可能性进一步加大，不排除英国可能会将政策转向美国，这可能会进一步推动美元回升，进而施压金价。
　　
　　目前市场仍聚焦于美联储的加息路径。由于近期英国无协议脱欧风险加大，加上欧洲政治风险不断，这使得美元仍维持相对强劲的走势，这使得黄金于1250美元一线承压。
　　
　　尽管12月加息的概率有所下降，但依然是大概率事件，因此市场将会密切关注美联储的讲话，尤其是鲍威尔关注中性利率的表述。如果美联储迫于特朗普的压力而进一步呈现鸽派的立场，那对于美元而言将是灾难性的，这将会使得黄金出现明显的反弹。
　　
Technical analysis of gold:
　　
　　4小时图上，目前黄金仍处在上升通道内。目前黄金短时间已经形成了双顶形态，同时总体位于1240美元关键支撑位上方，短时间黄金将会选择方向。目前关注下方30日均线，短时间是一个较强的支撑位且呈现上行的走势，如果维持在这一线上方，不排除黄金有进一步反弹的可能。

　　

Gold（1902合约）操作建议：反弹高空为主，低多为辅，反弹1258附近空单进场目标看到1250-1245Nearby, stop loss4美金，回调1245-1244做多目标1250-1255-1259Nearby, stop loss4美金；以上建议仅供参考，不做下单依据
　　
Conclusion: While aiming for distant goals, do not underestimate things near you. The slowest person, as long as they do not lose their goal, can walk faster than those who wander aimlessly. Even if the road is rough, the wheels must move forward. Even if the river is rough, ships can sail. Although bamboo shoots are tender, they are not afraid of heavy pressure, dare to struggle, and dare to rise to the top. The author has the honor to be awarded the most trustworthy gold analyst, This is encouragement, this is even more motivation!Honor is an instant enjoyment, but struggle is a long journey!