【12/12】汇评：梅姨面临下台危机英镑惨遭打击，美国CPI预期不佳美联储12月加息有点

Yesterday's review


      中美两国暗示解决贸易冲突的努力取得进展，以及欧元英镑走软，美元重获上涨动能，刷新近一个月高位97.54。
      英镑方面：外媒报道，英国首相梅的发言人表示，英国将在2019year1month21日前进行脱欧协议投票。德国总理默克尔告知英国首相无法修订英国的脱欧计划，这意味着脱欧协议投票推迟后，无协议硬脱欧风险再次增加。次日凌晨，有外媒称启动对首相梅不信任投票所需的48封信件已经就位。英镑/美元短线下挫40点逾点，续刷20The low point for months.
      Regarding the Euro:亚盘时段，欧元/美元震荡上行。欧盘时段，德国12monthZEWEconomic prosperity index recorded-17.5, better than expected-25，同时间段，欧元区12monthZEWEconomic prosperity index recorded-21，好于前值-22，当前欧元/美元短线上涨。美国11monthNFIB小型企业信心指数录得104.8，差于预期值107For this year4月以来新低，当前美元短线下跌，欧元/The US dollar is rising in the short term. During the US trading session, the United States11monthPPIMonthly rate recorded0.1%, better than expected0%，当前美元短线上涨，欧元/美元短线下跌。

Today's analysis

(Europe and AmericaM30chart)

Regarding the Euro:


      亚市早盘开盘，欧元/美元一波急升后在1.1330附近震荡。技术上，今日可逢高放空，上方压力位1.1390，若突破上方压力位时，可待回调至区间内逢低做多。今日需重点关注周三的美国11monthCPI年率，目前市场预期值2.2%略差于前值2.5%，若公布值较差，则打压美元提振欧元。尤其上周非农数据疲软，美联储布拉德发表了最鸽派言论，令市场对12月加息产生了动摇，若此次数据再不及预期，12月加息恐怕更悬。

goldaspect:


      亚市早盘开盘，现货黄金大幅攀升，目前在1224.89附近震荡。英镑受脱欧不确定性走低，助美元大幅反弹至半个月高位，对黄金不利，但国际贸易局势有所缓解，又利好黄金；技术面看空信号有所增加。技术上，今日可观望或逢高放空，上方压力位1250.76, lower support position1240。今日需关注国际贸易局势相关消息，以及美国CPIdata

Today's focus on data:


eurozone10Monthly industrial output rate
U.S.A11Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIthe annual rate
U.S.A11Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIthe annual rate
美国当周EIAcrude oilstock(10000 barrels)

Disclaimers:


This analysis and trading strategy objectively describe the current market trend. Investors need to strictly follow the principles of following the trend, reducing positions, and stopping losses! We cannot solely rely on trading strategies as the basis for placing orders, this is for reference only!
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