消息面:黄金周五强劲上涨,触及6At a weekly high, the highest intraday level in the US market reached an upward trend1250美元上方,金价重返1240一线上方,跨越10月份高点剑指1260关口;美元则小幅下挫,美元指数仍运行在97关口下方。昨日公布的美国11月非农就业人数大幅下滑,支撑金银上涨,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time21:30-21:33The trading volume within four minutes is10282Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to13亿美元,美元则应声下挫。目前市场的反应相当平静,这些因素包括股市暴跌,债券收益率下降,美联储加息预期下降。很大程度上取决于周五美国非农就业报告以及它将如何影响美联储加息预期,这些预期已经大幅缩减,以至于强劲的报告可能导致重新调整,使黄金面临压力。
今年最后一份非农就业报告出炉。美国劳工部周五(12month7day)According to published data, the United States11Non farm employment increased15.510000 people, lower than market expectations19.8Ten thousand people;11月失业率持稳于3.7%,符合预期;小时薪资月率增长0.2%, also lower than expected0.3%。数据出炉之后,美联储加息预期降温,美元指数下挫,现货黄金则短线上扬。除了非农之外,欧佩克会议也引发市场的广泛关注。继隔夜令人失望的消息传出之后,欧佩克+今日意外就减产12010000 barrels/日达成协议,crude oil受到提振短线暴拉。
综合来看,在本周尾非农数据公布之前,笔者就强调过就目前这个市场大环境下贸易风险及周四公布的众多数据ADP小非农及初请失业金数据等均表现不佳,由此可以分析本次非农将非常大概率表现不佳利多黄金。周五美盘数据公布显示如期利多,黄金受支撑上涨。本次的非农表现也是更加进一步的印证了我们前期一直看好黄金上涨的观点,目前黄金多头表现强势。对于下周行情走势来看的话,玉琪论金依旧是看好黄金的进一步上行突破,金价一旦企稳1250关口后上方将会向今年7月以来高点1265一线前进。综合来看,下周一操作上玉琪论金个人建议还是以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,重点关注1252-1254One line of resistance, pay attention below1241-1243一线支撑。欢迎关注"Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold"工肿号获得最新资讯,获取每日行情走势分析,交易策略指导;如果有套单锁单的朋友,请及时联系本人薇欣:zyq1970622, unlock your order.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:1#Lower callback to1241-1243Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1248-1250frontline;
2#Above not broken1252-1254Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1246-1248frontline;
下周原油走势分析:原油本周录得一根小阳线,周线呈现二连阳形态,行情表现反弹需求。日线上本周五个交易日,K线呈现三阳二阴形态,行情呈现阴阳交替形态,油价整体维持50-54.5区间偏强运行。目前布林带三轨朝下缩口运行,KThe line ends near the lower part of the Bollinger track,5、10均线交金叉拐头上行,附图指标MACD、KDJ均呈金叉多头向上发散运行,行情表现多头趋势;4小时图上,布林带三轨平台向右运行,5、10均线呈金叉向上发散,K线收于布林中轨上方,附图指标MACD、KDJ呈金叉运行,油价短线呈现多头上行形态,虽说原油在尾盘短线有一定回落,但是在欧佩克与非欧佩克确定减产的大环境下,原油大趋势上可能受减产推动看涨上行。短线的回落只能算是上涨趋势中的回调修正,回调只为更好的上涨!
综合来看,受欧佩克与非欧佩克确定减产支撑,原油多头收到助力录得上涨,行情表现强势形态。对于原油后市来看,既然欧佩克及非欧佩克同意了减产,即联合减产量12010000 barrels/日,证明目前产油国对目前这低油价并不满意。原油受此减产提振将会逆转这两个月以来的弱势形态,多头迎来改革春风,后市原油玉琪论金看好上涨。综合来看,下周一思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注54.0-54.2One line of resistance, pay attention below50.3-50.5一线支撑。具体的解套及操作策略可以关注笔者宫肿浩:玉琪论金。
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Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team