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Yesterday's review
日内美国经济数据略为疲软,并且有媒体爆料称美联储将在明年春季放缓紧缩周期,美元遭打压,一直在97关口之下震荡盘整。gold一度触及1230关口,但随后由涨转跌,温和收涨。 英镑方面:欧盟发言人称目前脱欧取得非常好的进程,但未能敲定最终协议,英国首相梅姨则表示周六再赴欧盟进行会谈。目前德国总理默尔克表示脱欧协议必须在周日峰会上签署,爱尔兰总理瓦拉德卡也预计领导人将会在峰会上签署协议。但西班牙首相桑切斯再次重申称,若关于直布罗陀没有解决方案,西班牙将在周日投票反对该协议。 Regarding the Euro:亚欧盘时段,欧元/美元进行剧烈震荡盘整。有外媒报道,欧盟拒绝了意大利预算案,欧盟批准对意大利进行过度赤字程序。随后美国10Monthly rate of durable goods orders recorded-4.4%,大幅差于预期值-2.5%, creating2017year7月以来最大的降幅。当前美元短线下跌,欧元/The US dollar is rising in the short term. During the US trading session, the United States11月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值录得97.5,略差于预期值98.3,同时间段的美国10Annualized total sales of completed houses522,稍好于预期值520,结束了此前六个月的连跌。当前美元短线上涨,欧元/美元短线回落。
Today's analysis
(Europe and AmericaM30chart)
Regarding the Euro:
亚市早盘开盘,欧元/美元小幅波动,目前在1.1387附近波动。技术上,今日可逢高放空,上方压力位1.1424, lower support position1.1391。若突破上方压力位1.1424时,可待回调至区间内逢低做多。美国因感恩节休市一天,美盘时段行情波动变小。欧元区需关注欧盘时段的欧央行货币政策会议纪要,目前欧银计划将在12End of MonthQE,但这预计将拉高意大利与德国国债的收益率息差,反过来为欧元构成压力。
In terms of gold:
亚市早盘开盘,现货黄金小幅上涨,目前在1227.1附近震荡。目前有分析称美联储可能在12月鸽派加息,并且美国耐用品订单月率创去年7月以来最大降幅,美元承压,给黄金提供了支撑;但也有分析师认为市场对于美联储官员的讲话过度解读,美元短线依然偏多,这对金价形成压制。今日美国感恩节休市一天,数据交投或为清淡,技术上,今日可进行观望,目前上方压力位1230, lower support position1219。今日需关注英国脱欧相关消息以及欧央行货币政策纪要。
Today's focus on data:
Announced by the European Central Bank10Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
eurozone11Initial value of monthly consumer confidence index
感恩节,休市一天
Disclaimers:
This analysis and trading strategy objectively describe the current market trend. Investors need to strictly follow the principles of following the trend, reducing positions, and stopping losses! We cannot solely rely on trading strategies as the basis for placing orders, this is for reference only!
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