Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.19黄金多空来回博弈静待美联储讲话指引，黄金午夜走势操作附解套

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.19gold多空来回博弈静待美联储讲话指引，黄金午夜走势操作附解套




消息面：周一(11month19day)亚洲时段，美元指数在一周低位附近窄幅震荡，美联储官员的意外鸽派讲话等利空影响仍在，本周美元存在一定的下行风险；现货黄金暂时在1220关口附近徘徊，短线略微偏多；crude oil市场，油价小幅上涨，多重利空出尽之后，市场出现一些空头回补，短线略微偏多，但中线下行风险仍存。

Monday Beijing time(11month19day)晚间，美联储“三号人物”威廉姆斯将发表讲话，一旦他也释放鸽派信号，美元可能会再度遭到打压。在美联储官员对全球增长前景表达谨慎看法，促使交易员重新评估美国未来的加息步伐后，周一(11month19day)欧市盘中，美元指数上行受限，国际现货黄金价格变动不大。受经济强劲及薪资压力上升影响，美联储稳步收紧政策，这带动美元在今年强劲上扬后。市场普遍预计美联储将于下月进行今年的第四次加息，决策官员也暗示2019year6月之前还有两次加息机会。




Monday Beijing time(11month19day)23:45The President of the Federal Reserve in New York, USAFOMC永久票委威廉姆斯参加纽约市西语商会的讨论。威廉姆斯是个偏鹰派官员，其在10月提到，如果经济处于正轨，渐进加息是合适的，在使利率升至中性利率水平附近时还有一段路要走，若其发表鹰派言论，美元指数获得提振，黄金或承压下行；若其态度偏鸽派，黄金有望重新上冲。另外，韩国央行报告表示，美国利率上升的前景将会对新兴经济体的经济稳定构成威胁，并将加强对此类风险的监测，加息和强势美元推高了新兴市场的波动性并引发资本外流，在与贸易争端相关的不确定性之外再添变数，美元走强会增加偿还以美元计价的债务的成本。

黄金走势分析：黄金技术面上看，上周黄金先跌后涨，后面形成日线四连阳之后，周线以下影线长线收盘；大周期周线上看，K线收阳之后再次企稳布林中轨上方位置，布林持续缩口，短周期MA5to1224位置形成压力，下方MA10击穿BOLL中轨上行至1215一线位置形成支撑。纵观走势整体来看，黄金在上周下跌之后连续试探1200-1198区域之后突破1205之后走高冲击1216-217之后二次发力至1225承压，随后回落至1220-1219后反弹整理；黄金短线来看，黄金早盘小幅上涨1223美金承压震荡回调，午后最低回落1217-18美金企稳震荡上涨。短周期黄金今日亚欧盘并没有延续上周五晚间美盘的强势突破上涨走势，短线走势并不是很强势。短周期黄金午夜上方压制先看1224USD, broken1224美金进一步1227-28美金压力，下方支撑先看1218美金，进一步看1214-15US dollar support.




从短期四小时级来看，黄金反转结构较为明显，金价从1196Bounce to1225，涨幅有29美金，那么目前的冲高回落调整是有必要的，小幅的回调修正后关注上涨的力度。若本周能继续突破1225上周高点，并能一举上破1237前高点，那么此次大幅的回撤后反攻拉升将漂亮收官。若迟迟连1225高点都不能突破，那么不排除金价可能会阻力成功，有大幅回落风险。在四小时级上日内先看回调修正在看反弹的力度强弱。综合来看，金价目前从1225高点回调幅度不大，力度相对较弱。所以日内短线上我们先看回落后的震荡修正，再看后续反弹拉升的强弱。今日午夜操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1225-1227One line of resistance, pay attention below1215-1217Frontline support. Add author Yuqi LunjinweixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!





gold11.19Midnight operation suggestion:1#Lower callback to1215-1217Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1222-1224frontline;




2#Above not broken1225-1227Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1220-1218frontline;

原油走势分析：从技术面看，上周三连阳打破了连续十二连跌的空不趋势，短期内空头有所减弱。日线图KDJ已经明显的多头指示，但MACD虽然双线缩口，但并没有走到零值上方，说明虽然空头有所减弱，但并没有真正走出多头趋势，随时还有下跌的机率。从四小时看，K线运行于上轨和中轨之间，MACD双线同样在零值下方，说明短期内虽然是多头趋势，但动能还是有所不足。也就是说，近期大趋势偏多头，但随时会有下跌的机率。综合来看，今日午夜操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注58.3-58.5One line of resistance, pay attention below56-55.8Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team




writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)