美中期选举临近,特朗普该如何掌握政权不改弹劾下场 上周黄金先跌后涨,全球金融市场迎来多个大事件,德国总理默克尔宣布任期结束卸任,英国脱欧爆出各种乌龙新闻,欧洲政坛动荡不已,欧元、英镑一度坐上“过山车”;中美一通电话引爆了全球市场,央妈还采取一大举动令人民币空头被暴打;上周美国公布的一系列数据均表现靓丽。周三公布的10monthADPEmployment records8The largest increase in months, and the United States announced on Friday10Monthly increase in non farm employment25Ten thousand people, far exceeding expected increase19万人,不过,尽管周五非农数据亮眼,但是由于此前ADP数据市场情绪已经有所消化,因此黄金的跌幅较为有限。
由于上周五非农数据超预期推动美元上涨,黄金短线下跌,但是,随着11month6日中期选举的临近,周哲金认为美国政局呈现动荡不安的局面,政治僵局和贸易不确定所带来的风险将成为黄金的主要上行动力。据周哲金了解,美国中期选举之后,很可能会出现国会分裂的局面,民主党控制众议院,共和党赢得参议院;且上周五晚间公布的美国9The monthly trade deficit has widened to540亿美元,为连续第四个月扩大,这使得特朗普在中期选举中的处境将更加艰难。如果民主党赢得众议院控制权,他们将启动弹劾程序,这可能会妨碍与特朗普政府的任何合作。即使没有弹劾,在基础设施方面也很难找到共同点,预计未来两年不会出台任何有意义的额外财政刺激措施。国会分裂意味着由于政治不确定性而出现的规避风险的反应,因此,大选之后市场环境可能是风险规避,这将对黄金有利。如果特朗普在中期选举中表现不佳,大多数投资者将会再次回到黄金市场。
Analysis of International Gold Market Trends: 目前黄金从大周期技术面上看,周K线以一根下长影小阴线收官,目前金价处于在MA200average1235一线关口压制下方运行,MA5、10日均线交叉形成金叉继续保持向上运行趋势,拐头延伸至1228一线形成支撑,MACD快慢线底部金叉向上运行红色动能呈持续放量状态,布林带开口有靠拢收紧迹象,从周线走势来看,后市走势预计将有所放缓,重点关注后市1235一线破位企稳情况,企稳则继续上探1240upper.
在从四小时上看,目前金价运行布林带上行通道中,MA5The daily moving average has a downward crossingMA10均线向下运行迹象,MA40/60均线交叉至1228一线形成支撑,KDJ指标死叉向下运行,红色能量柱呈受收量形态,短线变现出金价有走下行回调的迹象,不过从小时线走势上看,多周期均线高位缠绕走平,金价运行于布林带中轨附近,开口呈收紧走平状态,预示着金价则短线陷入震荡走势。所以综合来看,在四小时指标短线预示着走下行回调及小时线走震荡的情况下,则需要重点关注1228这一线的关键支撑位,不破则后市金价走震荡修复的可能性较大,破则将继续下探1225一线支撑位;综合来看,后市我们应重点关注的是,上方1235一线破位企稳情况,下方1227一线支撑情况,今日晚间操作思路上周哲金个人建议还是以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅。行情实时变化,找到周哲金dzb717Get daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
切勿有急于翻身的交易心态 In the face of losses, it is important not to rush to open new positions in the opposite direction in order to turn around, as this often only worsens the situation. Only in situations where you believe the original predictions and decisions are completely wrong can you quickly close the losing position and open a new reverse position. Don't play guessing games with market changes. It's better to miss trading opportunities than to incur losses.
Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.